This paper estimates a dynamic empirical model for Japan’s business fixed investment. A multivariate cointegration analysis of Japan’s time series data over the past two decades shows that the term spread (the difference between long-term and short-term interest rates) and various diffusion indices in the Bank of Japan’s business survey tend to synchronise with fixed investment. The term spread...

The study of memory for event duration in pigeons has, for the most part, centered on an unusual behavioral phenomenon and an interesting theoretical explanation for it. A typical experiment on memory for event duration involves trials initiated by a sample stimulus that is either short or long in duration (e.g., 2 vs. 10 sec of houselight) and that is later followed by the simultaneous present...

A recent literature has criticised the sensitivity of a firm’s investment to its own cash flow as an adequate measure of financing constraints. In this paper we develop a new method to detect the presence of financing constraints at firm level. We consider a structural dynamic model of investment with financing imperfections and with both fixed and variable capital. We solve the model and simul...

Nowadays, stock market investment is governed by investment strategies. An investment strategy consists in following a fixed philosophy over a period of time, and it can have a scientific, statistical or merely heuristic base. No method currently exists which is capable of measuring how good an investment strategy is either objectively or realistically. Through the use of Artificial Intelligenc...

2 Model Designs 3 2.1 The Base Macro-economic Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2.2 The Demand For Credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2.2.1 Fixed Investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2.2.2 Residential Investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 2.2.3 Consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 2.3 The Supply of Credit . . . . . . . . ...