A house purchase typically requires a deposit (or down-payment) and so a significant amount of cash. This paper considers the empirical implications of this borrowing constraint for the housing market. It shows that, at the aggregate level, models of the housing market that incorporate the constraint are consistent with the following stylised facts: i) a positive correlation between house price...

Empirical evidence shows that house prices and consumption are closely synchronized. However, previous contributions disagree over the causes of this link. According to the life cycle model, households plan lifetime consumption based on their expectations about the development in their total wealth, including housing wealth, and households should only react to innovations in house prices. Howev...

The recent sharp increase in subprime mortgage delinquencies has captured the public spotlight and led analysts to search for the factors that are likely to have contributed to the problem.These factors commonly include the lack of income documentation, high loan-to-income ratios, the lowering of credit standards, and the resets on adjustable-rate loans, to name but a few. Although these factor...

Locally weighted quantile regressions allow the coefficients of hedonic house price functions to vary over space. Using data on all house sales in Cook County, Illinois, for 20002011, I show how the full distribution of appreciation rates changed over time in small geographic areas. The estimates reveal significant spatial variation in appreciation rates both geographically and across the distr...

Real house prices are forecast to rise over the next two decades by about the same amount they rose over the past two decades. The longer-run positive trends in real incomes and population size and the advance of the baby boom into ages of greater effective demand for houses are forecast to raise real house prices 10%. Simulation indicates that the demand for houses, and thus the prices of hous...

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Using a dynamic equilibrium model of housing tenure choice with fully specified markets for homeownership and rental properties, and endogenous house prices and rents, this paper studies the effect of fundamentals on equilibrium house prices and rents. Lower interest rates, relaxed lending standards, and higher incomes are shown to account for approximately one-half of the increase in the U.S. ...

The paper investigates the long run behavior of house prices and their dynamic interactions with bank credits, real output and interest rate for the case of Malaysia. Apart from the aggregate house prices, the analysis also covers various house price sub-indices, namely, the terraced house price index, the semidetached house price index, the detached house price index and the high-rise price in...

Do online price estimates directly impact sales prices in the real estate market, and if so, how large is that impact? We develop an estimation model that uses the di↵erence between list prices and online price estimates to proxy for house specific unobservables. To account for neighborhood specific unobservables, we use neighborhood first di↵erencing. Using house price estimates, list prices a...