In this paper we ask the question: how well do pre–election polls forecast the actual results of elections in the U.S.? 1 The question is interesting for a number of reasons. First, even polling data suggests about 1/3 of polling respondents do not believe that polls work in " the best interests of the general public. " 2 The situation is such that even many national governments have undertaken...

Men and women (20 each) were videotaped while describing someone they liked, someone they disliked, someone they were ambivalent about, someone they were indifferent about, someone they liked as though they disliked him or her, and someone they disliked as thought they like him or her. Accuracy at detecting that some deception had occurred was far greater than accuracy at detecting the true und...