نتایج جستجو برای: mgarch

تعداد نتایج: 111  

Journal: :Journal of risk and financial management 2022

This study analyzes the volatility spillover effects in US stock market (S&P500) and cryptocurrency (BGCI) using intraday data during COVID-19 pandemic. As potential drivers of portfolio diversification, we measure asymmetric transmission on both markets. We apply MGARCH-BEKK algorithm-based GA2M machine learning model. The negative shocks to returns impact S&P500 more than positive als...

2002
Andrew Worthington Helen Higgs

This paper examines the transmission of equity returns and volatility among Asian equity markets and investigates the differences that exist in this regard between the developed and emerging markets. Three developed markets (Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore) and six emerging markets (Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand) are included in the analysis. A multivariate gen...

2015
Matthias Hartmann Jan Roestel

This study provides cross country robust evidence on interdependencies among inflation, output growth and respective uncertainties for the current era of low inflation policies. We attribute the extant empirical disagreement on these relations to the fact that long sampling periods and single economies are typically considered for analysis. In this study, VARX-MGARCH-M models are estimated for ...

2015
Selmi Nadhem Hachicha D Nejib

This paper is focused on examining the number of deaths' increases participation in the propagating the Ebola virus during the period ranging from March to October 2014. An application of the MGARCH-DCC model regressions on four countries has led to discover that the finding that human contact play a significant role in transmitting the Ebola virus. Our findings also reveal that Guinea has alre...

Journal: :Energy Economics 2022

The analysis of causality among oil prices and, in general, between financial and economic variables is central relevance applied studies. recent contribution Lu et al. (2014) proposes a new test, the DCC-MGARCH Hong test. We show that critical values test statistic should be evaluated through simulations to avoid potential Type I errors. also note rolling tests represent more viable solution p...

Journal: :Risks 2021

Volatility and investor sentiment have been factors for the slow adoption rate of Bitcoin (BTC) that was first recognized in 2008 as a potential store value, investment vehicle hedge alternative to gold during recession. The purpose this applied mathematics study will use multivariate DCC GARCH model. holds its ground volatility. This examines an well major stock index. To perform research expl...

2009
David Büttner Bernd Hayo

We analyse the determinants of stock market integration among EU member states for the period 1999–2007. First, we apply bivariate DCC-MGARCH models to extract dynamic conditional correlations between European stock markets, which are then explained by interest rate spreads, exchange rate risk, market capitalisation, and business cycle synchronisation in a pooled OLS model. By grouping the coun...

2009
David Büttner

We investigate conditional correlations between six CEEC-3 financial markets estimated by DCC-MGARCH models. In general, the highest correlations exist between Hungary and Poland in foreign exchange and stock markets. Short-term money markets are rather isolated from each other. We find that the associations of CEEC-3 exchange rates versus the euro are weaker than those versus the US dollar. Th...

2006
Christos Floros Dimitrios V. Vougas

This paper examines hedging effectiveness in Greek stock index futures market. We focus on various techniques to estimate variance reduction from constant and time-varying hedge ratios. For both available stock index futures contracts of the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX), we employ a variety of models to derive and estimate the effectiveness of hedging. We measure hedging effectiveness usi...

2014
Alexander Guarín José Fernando Moreno Hernando Vargas Luis Fernando Melo

We study two issues: (i) the relationship between interest rates on US and Colombian sovereign debt and (ii) the short-term response of the Colombian longterm bond yield and other asset prices to shocks to the US long-term Treasury rate. We use daily data between 2004 and 2013. Separating the period into three intervals (before, during and after the financial crisis), we consider the first issu...

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