Continuous increase in oil pricing is not only causing difficulties to consumer but the imbalance in demand and supply is impacting the producer and refineries also. Consumer may adjust the demand dynamically as per the price fluctuation but oil major cannot change the production so dynamically. The recommended solution is the latest technology which could optimize the production, meeting the i...

This paper examines the effect of the volatility of oil prices on food price in South Africa using monthly data covering the period 2002:01 to 2014:09. Food price is measured by the South African consumer price index for food while oil price is proxied by the Brent crude oil. The study employs the GARCH-in-mean VAR model, which allows the investigation of the effect of a negative and positive s...

This study focuses on the relation between fluctuation of international oil prices and China’s energy stock market during COVID-19 pandemic, using a dynamic conditional correlation generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity model. We confirm spillover effect volatility price returns determine that leadership has been heavily influenced pandemic.

We propose phase-like characteristics in scale-free broadband processes and consider fluctuation synchrony based on the temporal signature of significant amplitude fluctuation. Using wavelet transform, successful captures of similar fluctuation pattern between such broadband processes are demonstrated. The application to the financial data leading to the 2008 financial crisis reveals the transi...

The frequent and excessive fluctuation of agricultural and livestock products price is not only harmful to residents’ living, but also affects CPI (Consumer Price Index) values, and even leads to social crisis, which influences social stability. Therefore it is important to forecast the price of agriculture and livestock products. As a result, we make a research on the factors affecting agricul...

At present, the largest commodity futures variety in global market is crude oil futures, which plays a role price discovery, risk hedging, and stabilizing international prices. The fluctuation of its key issue that governments, investors, scholars around world pay attention to. This paper establishes GARCH model EGARCH under three distribution states t distribution, Normal GED distribution. The...

This paper concerns with two reasons for stock price fluctuation, the instinctive stochastic fluctuation and the fluctuation caused by the spread of information. They are constructed by compound Poisson process and continuum percolation model separately. Combining the two models, the authors get a Lévy process for the price fluctuation that can explain the fat-tail phenomenon in stock market. T...

The paper presents a theory of nominal asset prices for competitively owned oil. Focusing on monetary e¤ects, with ‡exible oil prices the US dollar oil price should follow the aggregate US price level. But with rigid nominal oil prices, the nominal oil price jumps proportionally to nominal interest rate increases. We …nd evidence for structural breaks in the nominal oil price that are used to i...

The stock price has long been an essential issue in stock market analysis, while rarely had any relevant study covered the relational effect of the bidder factor on stock price. Hereby we try to find an association between bid and transaction price time series. The fluctuation of pattern ratios embedded in the bid series affects the fluctuation of transaction price. That means when there is sma...

A b s t r a c t a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C23 G15 Q43 Keywords: Asymmetric effects International stock markets Oil prices Panel data Oil price volatility Although studies have found an asymmetric pattern in the response of aggregate output to oil price changes, parallel studies in stock markets have not been conclusive about their existence. This paper finds evidence that effect...