In many situations the individuals who can generate some output must enter a contest for appropriating this output. This paper analyses the investment incentives of such agents and the role of incumbency advantages in the contest. Depending on the advantages, an increase in the productivity of the investment can decrease or increase the amount of investment. The results are applied to autocrats...

Ragnar Frisch on various occasions claimed that he had invented input-output analysis in a 1934 paper titled “Circulation planning”. Although prominently published in Econometrica, Frisch’s contribution has hardly been discussed in the input-output literature. Frisch’s paper was an attempt to explain the incapsulating phenomena of economic depressions and thus arose from a different motivation ...

This study relaxes the assumption of perfect and costless policy enforcement found in traditional agricultural policy analysis and introduces enforcement costs and cheating into the economic analysis of output subsidies. Policy design and implementation is modeled in this paper as a sequential game between the regulator who decides on the level of intervention, an enforcement agency that determ...

abstract this paper proposes an approach to find an optimum structure for educational levels of human forces. to this end, a linear programming (lp) model integrated with a social accounting matrix (sam) was employed. the integrated model was employed using the sam of golestan province of iran. it was demonstrated that when unemployment is the result of inconsistency between supply and demand f...

The consumption Euler equation implies that the output growth rate and the real interest rate are of the same order of integration; i.e., if the real interest rate is I(1), then so is the output growth rate and hence log output is I(2). To estimate the natural rates and gaps of macroeconomic variables jointly, this paper develops the multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2...

We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in volatility US monetary policy shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances local structural shocks from stochastic specification. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between endogenous variables and setting, find that interest rate uncertainty not only drives output inflation volatility, but also causes...

We compare the findings of central bank researchers and academic economists regarding macroeconomic effects quantitative easing (QE). find that papers QE to be more effective than do. Central report larger on output inflation. They also are significant, both statistically economically, they use positive language in abstract. who experience favorable career outcomes. A survey banks reveals subst...

This paper studies optimal public debt in a dynastic model with human capital externalities that cause human capital investment (fertility) to be below (above) its socially optimal level. By reducing fertility and raising human capital investment, the optimal debt can exceed 10% of output for plausible parameterizations. r 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: E60; H63; O41

This study shows that annual output data of the G7 countries in the twentieth century are better characterized as transitory deviations from a (shifting) growth trend than as integrated processes. Furthermore, I find no two countries share common business cycles. JEL classification: C22, E32, 057