نتایج جستجو برای: regional climate change
تعداد نتایج: 859429 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Regional or local climate change modeling studies currently require starting with a global climate model, then downscaling to the region of interest. How should global models be chosen for such studies, and what effect do such choices have? This question is addressed in the context of a regional climate detection and attribution (D&A) study of January-February-March (JFM) temperature over the w...
The Mediterranean Basin is a climate and biodiversity hot spot, and climate change threatens agro-ecosystems such as olive, an ancient drought-tolerant crop of considerable ecological and socioeconomic importance. Climate change will impact the interactions of olive and the obligate olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae), and alter the economics of olive culture across the Basin. We estimate the ef...
A new technique for climate simulations and projections has emerged over the past 15 years that allows to reach unprecedented spatial resolution at an affordable computing cost: regional climate modelling. The technique has matured and several groups around the world are participating in model intercomparison projects and collaborating in coordinated endeavour to produce ensemble climate-change...
Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture, water resources, human health, and ecosystems are tied to climates of regions (e.g., provinces, counties or states) rather than to changes in broad continental or global averages. It is therefore imperative to understand and, ideally, to predict how global climate change is manifested at these regional scales. Using GCM output to drive limited...
1. Economies differ in their vulnerability to climate change. How does climate change– both in terms of market and non-market damages – affect economic growth, structure and distribution of income? 2. Climate change stipulates capital flows and migration. How does this affect regional economies? 3. The risk of climate disruption induces mitigation as well as on anticipated adaptation to climate...
Rapid climate change jeopardizes tree populations by shifting current climate zones. To avoid extinction, tree populations must tolerate, adapt, or migrate. Here we investigate geographic patterns of genetic variation in valley oak, Quercus lobata Née, to assess how underlying genetic structure of populations might influence this species' ability to survive climate change. First, to understand ...
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