نتایج جستجو برای: representative concentration pathways rcps

تعداد نتایج: 696565  

Journal: :Agronomy 2022

The production of soybean is gaining more attention in West Africa. In light projected changes climate, there a need to assess the potential impacts on yield productivity and variability among farmers. An evaluated GROPGRO module Decision Support System for Agro-technological Transfer (DSSAT) was used simulate under both historical (1980–2009) climate scenarios from multiple general circulation...

2015
R. A. Betts N. Golding P. Gonzalez J. Gornall R. Kahana G. Kay L. Mitchell A. Wiltshire

A new generation of an Earth system model now includes a number of land-surface processes directly relevant to analyzing potential impacts of climate change. This model, HadGEM2-ES, allows us to assess the impacts of climate change, multiple interactions, and feedbacks as the model is run. This paper discusses the results of centuryscale HadGEM2-ES simulations from an impacts perspective – spec...

Journal: :Climate 2021

The Weighted Anomaly of Standardized Precipitation Index (WASP-Index) was computed over Iberia for three monthly timescales (3-month, 6-month and 12-month) in 1961–2020, based on an observational gridded precipitation dataset (E-OBS), between 2021 2070, bias-corrected generated by a six-member climate model ensemble from EURO-CORDEX, under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), RCP4....

Journal: :Journal of Environmental Management 2021

Investments in forestry are long-term and thus subject to numerous sources of risk. In addition the volatility from markets, investments directly exposed future impacts climate change. We examined how diversification forest management regimes can mitigate expected risks associated with activities New Zealand based on an application Modern Portfolio Theory. Uncertainties responses Pinus radiata ...

2015
Eric Goberville Grégory Beaugrand Nina-Coralie Hautekèete Yves Piquot Christophe Luczak

Ecological Niche Models (ENMs) are increasingly used by ecologists to project species potential future distribution. However, the application of such models may be challenging, and some caveats have already been identified. While studies have generally shown that projections may be sensitive to the ENM applied or the emission scenario, to name just a few, the sensitivity of ENM-based scenarios ...

Climate change may pose challenges to the conservation of plant species such as the Fritillaria imperialis that have narrow geographical distribution. In this study, the modeling suitable habitats of F.imperialis in Iran was done in the current condition and under climate change (2050). For this purpose, 78 species presence data along with 12 environmental variables including bioclimatic, physi...

Journal: :Journal of Water and Climate Change 2022

Abstract This study characterizes the hydrological regime of Upper Ayeyarwaddy River Basin (UARB) Myanmar under current and future climate change scenarios by using Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The model simulation results show that annual precipitation, actual evapotranspiration water yields are 1,578, 524 1,010 mm, respectively. These will increase 13–28%, 11–24% 42–198% two representat...

2015
T. Davies-Barnard P. J. Valdes J. S. Singarayer A. J. Wiltshire C. D. Jones

Climate change is projected to cause substantial alterations in vegetation distribution, but these have been given little attention in comparison to land use in the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. Here we assess the climate-induced land cover changes (CILCC) in the RCPs and compare them to land use land cover change (LULCC). To do this, we use an ensemble of simulations wi...

Journal: :Earth’s Future 2022

This study focuses on the projections and time of emergence (TOE) for temperature extremes over Australian regions in phase 6 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) models. The model outputs are based Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from Tier 1 experiments (i.e., SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) Scenario (ScenarioMIP), which is compared with Representative Concentration (RCPs...

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