Risk management is crucial for optimal portfolio management. One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance is the expansion of financial derivatives. The purpose of this special issue on “Risk Management and Financial Derivatives” is to highlight some areas in which novel econometric, financial econometric and empirical finance methods have contributed significantly to the analysis of r...

This study examines whether the direction and magnitude of the aggregate order-imbalance of the index stocks can explain the arbitrage spread between index futures and the underlying cash index. The data are for the Asian financial crisis period and hence entail wide variations in order imbalance and the index-futures basis. The analysis controls for realistic trading costs and actual dividend ...

1 Introduction This paper is concerned with the use of stock indices futures to hedge the return on portfolios. This topic has received considerable attention in the literature, which will be briefly summarised in section 2 of the paper. First of all it is desirable to consider the nature of hedging. The main aim of hedging is assumed to be the minimisation of the variance of the return on the ...

The presumed source of the volatility is a trading strategy called “programmed trading.”2 This strategy, which essentially involves trading on small and shortlived price differences for the same group of stocks in the spot, futures and options markets, is not new. The introduction of stock jnde~futures around 1982 and the application of computer techniques to monitor price differences and trigg...

This study presents an application of stochastic model for limit order book (LOB) dynamics to Korean Stock Index Futures (KOSPI 200 Futures). Since KOSPI 200 futures market is widely known as one of the most liquid markets in the world, direct application of an existing model is hardly possible. Therefore, we modified an existing model to successfully model and predict the dynamics of extremely...

This paper examines the hedging effectiveness of gold futures for the stock market in minimizing variance and downside risks, including value at risk and expected shortfall using data from the Iran emerging capital market during four different sub-periods from December 2008 to August 2018. We employ dynamic conditional correlation models including VARMA-BGARCH (DCC, ADCC, BEKK, and ABEKK) and c...

We study the returns to investing in VIX futures and VIX Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs). We document a substantial negative return premium for both ETNs and the futures. For example, the a constant maturity portfolio of one-month VIX futures loses about 30% per year over our sample period (2006-2013). We propose an equilibrium model to explain these negative returns. In this model, increases in v...

nowadays, the significant increase in the banks' non- performing loans is one of the main disturbances for authorities because of its bad effects on the macroeconomic index in our country such as increasing credit risk, liquidity risk and finally bankruptcy risk. social gap in welfare programs, deviation in monetary policies, etc. are the other bad results of this phenomenon. meanwhile, du...

This paper examines the relationships among Hangseng index and its related derivatives in a bear market. The Johansen Co-integration and vector error correction model are used to analyze the relationships between markets. The main results are as follows: 1) The lead-lag relationships show that Hangseng index futures and option markets play a more important price discovery role; 2) The pricing e...

This study examines empirically with complete transaction records of index futures and of the index stocks, as well as the bid/ask price quotes of the latter, the impact of stock market order imbalance on the dynamic behavior of index futures and the underlying cash index. The study purges spurious correlation in the index by using an estimate of the “true” index with highly synchronous and act...