نتایج جستجو برای: turnout

تعداد نتایج: 1342  

J. A. Zakeri,

Investigation of vertical vibrations of a railway turnout is important in designing track components under moving loads of trains. In this paper, the turnout is simulated by a linear finite element model with modal damping. A section of the turnout has a length of 36 sleeper spans surrounding the crossing. Rails and sleepers are modeled with uniform Rayleigh-&#10Timoshenko beam elements. The ra...

2014
Jeffrey Milyo

I examine the change in voter turnout across Indiana counties before and after the implementation of photo ID requirements. Overall, statewide turnout increased by about two percentage points after photo ID; further, there is no consistent evidence that counties that have higher percentages of minority, poor, elderly or less-educated population suffer any reduction in voter turnout relative to ...

2013
Christian Ben Lakhdar Eric Dubois

It is commonly stated that the climate has an impact on electoral turnout. This article aims to test this proposition that has not been scientifically proved in the French case yet. Using the last five parliamentary elections turnout data and the corresponding climatic data on the voting day, our study shows that rain has a depressing effect on turnout, whereas sunshine and high temperatures in...

2014
Jeffrey Milyo

I examine the change in voter turnout across Indiana counties before and after the implementation of photo ID requirements Overall statewide turnout increased by about two percentage points after photo ID further there is no consistent evidence that counties that have higher percentages of minority poor elderly or lesseducated population suffer any reduction in voter turnout relative to other c...

2000
Daniel Diermeier

We present a stochastic model of coordination in turnout games. In each period a randomly selected voter receives information about current play through noisy polls and then, based on this information, forms expectations about the current conÞguration of play and chooses a best response. We prove the existence of a unique limiting distribution for the process and show that even in large elector...

2017
Sophia Elliot Michele Margolis

This paper is motivated by the overall trend of decreasing youth voter turnout since the 1960s in the U.S, which has been accompanied by large fluctuations in turnout between election cycles. By contrast, older age groups vote at higher rates with less variation in turnout between elections over time. This paper aims to identify some independent variables that affect youth voter turnout rate an...

2003
Drew Linzer James Honaker

Rational actor game theoretic models have had a longstanding challenge trying to explain voter turnout in the mass electorate. We analyze how partial turnout can be addressed and predicted by mechanisms in evolutionary game theory. We present two models at opposite ends of the spectrum of possible evolutionary models and show realistic partial voter turnout can be generated by either. The first...

2010
Barry C. Burden Jacob R. Neiheisel Russ Feingold Keith Ellison

It is widely believed that voter registration is a substantial barrier to voter participation in general, but particularly so for likely Democratic voters. A popular solution is election day registration (EDR), which eliminates the closing date by permitting registration at the polls. We posit a small positive effect of EDR on turnout and, contrary to conventional wisdom, theorize that individu...

2012
Yair Ghitza Andrew Gelman

Using multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), we estimate voter turnout and vote choice within deeply interacted subgroups: subsets of the population that are defined by multiple demographic and geographic characteristics. This article lays out the models and statistical procedures we use, along with the steps required to fit the model for the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. T...

2006
Serguei Kaniovski Dennis C. Mueller

Numerous studies have found a negative relationship between the closeness of an election, the size of the electorate and voter turnout. It is often claimed that this relationship supports the rational voter hypothesis, with closeness and size proxying for the decisiveness of a vote. We offer a different interpretation. Larger communities are more heterogeneous than smaller ones, and turnouts ar...

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