نتایج جستجو برای: الگوی vecm

تعداد نتایج: 45005  

Journal: :Digital finance 2021

Abstract This paper aims to model the joint dynamics of cryptocurrencies in a nonstationary setting. In particular, we analyze role cointegration relationships within large system vector error correction (VECM) framework. To enable analysis dynamic setting, propose COINtensity VECM, nonlinear VECM specification accounting for varying systemwide exposure. Our results show that are indeed cointeg...

Journal: :Sustainability 2021

Along with the growth of marine tourism industry, number global cruise tourists is rapidly increasing; competition among regions to attract increasing. The current study aims verify that industry can be sustainable through its inherent power for long-term balanced convergence within and flexibly respond external shocks such as COVID-19. This applies Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) estimate...

2009
Ruyin Long Lei Wang

This paper studies the dynamic relationship among futures price, spot price of Shanghai metal and futures price of London with the co-integration theory, Granger causality tests, residue analysis, impulse responses function, and variance decomposition on the VECM. The study shows the three have the long equilibrium relationship: the copper futures price of Shanghai have internalities to the fut...

2013
Muhammad Shafiq Ihtisham Ul Haq Alam Khan Shaista Khan

This research study examined the effect of foreign remittances and economic growth on poverty in Pakistan. Annual time series data was analyzed for the time period 1978 to 2010. Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philips-Perron confirmed the problem of non-stationarity at level. This problem was eliminated by taking first difference of all variables. Johansen-juselius co-integration test was applied f...

2013
Asma Zardad Asma Mohsin Khalid Zaman

The purpose of this study is to investigate the factors that affect real exchange rate volatility for Pakistan through the co-integration and error correction model over a 30-year time period, i.e. between 1980 and 2010. The study employed the autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Vector Error Correction model...

2017
Yuan Gao

This study considers the forecasting of mortality rates in multiple populations. We propose a model that combines mortality forecasting and functional data analysis (FDA). Under the FDA framework, the mortality curve of each year is assumed to be a smooth function of age. As with most of the functional time series forecasting models, we rely on functional principal component analysis (FPCA) for...

2017
Mehmet Eryiğit

Throughout history, investors have attempted to determine the future states and prices of instruments that they consider to invest in. Thus, various econometric models have been developed in order to determine the variables influencing the prices of investment instruments, as well as the relationships between such variables. The main aim of the present study was to examine the variables that ma...

Journal: :The International Journal of Humanities & Social Studies 2019

Journal: :Journal of Entomological Society of Iran 2022

در بررسی­های فونستیک سال 2011 دامنه جنوبی رشته کوه­های زاگرس ایران، یک نمونه ماده از گونه Amphipyra kautti Hacker, 2002 متعلق به خانواده Noctuidae و زیرخانواده Amphipyrinae مناطق کوهستانی استان کهگیلویه بویراحمد جمع­ آوری شناسایی شد. این که برای اولین بار ایران گزارش می­شود، همراه با ویژگی­های افتراقی، تصویر الگوی بال اندام تناسلی شده ارائه است. اطلاعات مربوط دیگر همین جنس مطالعه نیز

ژورنال: :پژوهشنامه اقتصادی 0

آگاهی از میزان تقاضای پول آتی کشور بهمنظور تعیین اولویتها و انتخاب سیاست پولی در راستای مساعدت به رشد و توسعه اقتصادی، ضروری است. پژوهش حاضر، میزان تقاضا برای پول در ایران را در افق 1404 با استفاده از الگوهای سری زمانی vecm، var و arima، با بکارگیری دادههای سالهای 1355 تا 1385، پیشبینی میکند. نتایج نشان میدهد که الگوی arima با میزان خطای 1/3 درصد، مناسبترین پیشبینی را برای تقاضای پول دارد. بر ا...

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