Operational earthquake forecasting in the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 3 (UCERF3) model will be implemented using the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model. Parameter values for the ETAS model are determined by fitting that model to the recent instrumental earthquake catalog. A grid search is done, and the loglikelihood is used as a measure of fit to estimate...

We show that the spatial heterogeneity in the coseismic displacement of large earthquakes likely reflects the spatial characteristics of the frictional properties and that it can be inferred from the stress drop of moderate-sized earthquakes. We analyzed stress drops of 686 earthquakes with magnitudes of 4.0 to 5.0 off the south-east of Hokkaido, Japan, and investigated the spatial heterogeneit...

[1] Triggered earthquakes can be large, damaging, and lethal as evidenced by the1999 shocks in Turkey and the 2001 earthquakes in El Salvador. In this study, earthquakes with Ms 7.0 from the Harvard centroid moment tensor (CMT) catalog are modeled as dislocations to calculate shear stress changes on subsequent earthquake rupture planes near enough to be affected. About 61% of earthquakes that o...

[1] The activity at Mauna Loa volcano, Hawaii, is characterized by eruptive fissures that propagate into the Southwest Rift Zone (SWRZ) or into the Northeast Rift Zone (NERZ) and by large earthquakes at the basal decollement fault. In this paper we examine the historic eruption and earthquake catalogues, and we test the hypothesis that the events are interconnected in time and space. Earthquake...

[1] Tsunami earthquakes, shallow events that produce larger tsunamis than expected given their surface wave magnitudes (Ms), typically have long durations and a source spectrum depleted in short period energy. Seven cases of underthrusting tsunami earthquakes provide information on the rupture processes, but little constraint on geographic distribution or frequency. We compare their rupture cha...

Slow earthquakes that occur at subduction zones are distinct from regular earthquakes in terms of their slip behavior. We consider this difference to relate to localized hydration reactions at the plate interface that influence the frictional properties. The results of laboratory friction experiments indicate that simulated serpentine faults are characterized by a low healing rate and large sli...

[1] Large earthquakes can trigger distant earthquakes in geothermal areas. Some triggered earthquakes happen while the surface waves pass through a site, but others occur hours or even days later. Does this prolonged seismicity require a special mechanism to store the stress from the seismic waves that differs from ordinary aftershock mechanisms? These questions have driven studies of long-rang...

Source scaling relations have been obtained for earthquakes in eastern North America and other co'ntinental interiors, and compared with a relation obtained for earthquakes in western North America. The scaling relation for eastern North American earthquakes was constructed from measurements of seismic moment and source duration obtained by the waveform modeling of seismic body waves. The event...

this paper deals with pottery assemblage from the chalcolithic phase of the site of gilund in rajsamand district ofrajasthan. though pottery from this site has been studied earlier (shinde et al 2002), however there was no literatureavailable on the ceramic chronology of gilund with layers ascertained to it. this paper tries to build up a ceramicchronology in the site in order to indentify diff...