Apart from simple guesswork, time-series and regression techniques have largely dominated forecasting models for international tourism demand. This paper presents a new approach that uses a supervised feed-forward neural network model to forecast Japanese tourist arrivals in Hong Kong. The input layer of the neural network contains six nodes: Service Price, Average Hotel Rate, Foreign Exchange ...

This paper analyzes the impact of IRCA 1986, a U.S. amnesty, on immigrants’ human capital development and labor market outcomes. Because of IRCA, the 19751981 arrivals were all legalized by 1990. However, many of the 1982-1986 arrivals remained illegal. Using the California Latino immigrants in Census 1990, I find that the 1975-81 arrivals on average outperform the 1982-86 arrivals in men’s wag...

In this paper we investigate the performance of a video delivery service using the OnlineTVRecorder.com service in Germany as an example. We show that the request arrivals for file downloads play an important role and the system reacts differently when the arrivals are time-dependent. We consider two simple analytical models: a steady state Markov chain analysis for constant arrivals and a flui...

In this paper, we study a single server Markovian queue with state dependent accessible services, reneging and feedback of customers. The server can accommodate at the most $d$ customers in the service station, after which the new arrivals have to wait in the primary queue of infinite waiting space. All arrivals demand First Essential Service (FES), after completing FES, customers decide to joi...

By accounting for statistical properties of arrivals and service, stochastic formulations of the network calculus yield significantly tighter backlog and delay bounds than those obtained in a purely deterministic framework. This paper proposes a stochastic network calculus formulation which can account for partial assumptions on statistical independence of arrivals and service across multiple n...

We study broadcasting on multiple access channels with dynamic packet arrivals and jamming. The communication environments is represented by adversarial models which specify constraints on packet arrivals and jamming. We consider deterministic distributed broadcast algorithms and give upper bounds on the worst-case packet latency and the number of queued packets in relation to the parameters de...

Problem 1: Consider a single-server queue, with a Poisson arrival rate λ. The service times are independent identically distributed. 1. Assume that the service times of the customers follow the exponential distribution with mean 1/μ. Show that the average number of arrivals during a service time is N=λ/μ. 2. For the M/M/1 queue of part 1, find the probability distribution of the number of arriv...

This paper examines the existence of long-run relationships between East Asian economic integration and tourism exports for nine selected ASEAN States for the period 1996-2007. I employ tourist arrivals data as a proxy for tourism exports and trade ratios as a proxy for the economic integration. Using Johansen’s Fisher panel cointegration test, the findings show that tourist arrivals and trade ...

This study quantitatively investigated the relationship between climate change (proxied by CO2 emissions), air pollution PM2.5 concentration levels and PM10 SO2 tourism flows inbound domestic tourist arrivals) using panel data for 30 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2017. The results demonstrate a long-term equilibrium emissions, variables, (including number of tourists). model show that emission...