This paper presents and analyses a statistical framework for combining projections of future climate from different climate simulators. The framework recognizes explicitly that all currently available simulators are imperfect; that they do not span the full range of possible decisions on the part of the climate modelling community; and that individual simulators have strengths and weaknesses. I...

Bangladesh is likely to be one of the most vulnerable countries in the world to climate change. This paper discusses the possible impacts of climate change in Bangladesh through tropical cyclones, storm surges, coastal erosion and back water effect. The possible increase in cyclone frequency in the Bay of Bengal, lying south of Bangladesh, due to climate change is looked at by analyzing the cyc...

Climate change is impacting water users in many sectors: water supply, farming, industry, hydropower, fishing, housing, navigation and health. Existing situations, like population growth, movement of populations from rural to urban areas, poverty and pollution can aggravate the impacts of climate change. The aim of the study is to evaluate the vulnerability of different water user groups to cli...

Societies in semi-arid areas in developing regions are amongst those, most vulnerable to climate variability and potentially most vulnerable to climate change. The vulnerability to climate variability is caused by the strong restrictions that limited water availability poses on the use of natural resources, by the generally low reliability of water availability and, on the other hand, an often ...

to laymen. They deal with emotional reactions to frustration and failure, to acute illness, to fertility and sterility, to divorce, and to death and suicide. The fourth and seventh of the above, by Dr. Leo Bartemeier and Dr. Jules Masserman respectively, are thought provoking and profound, and Dr. Spiegler's account of reactions to catastrophe helpful to the individual and perhaps to the intern...

We introduce and analyze “multistage situations”, which generalize “multistage games” (which, in turn, generalize “repeated games”). One reason for this generalization is to avoid the perhaps unrealistic constraint inherent to noncooperative games that the set of strategy tuples must be a Cartesian product of the strategy sets of the players. Another reason is that in most economic and social a...

The beliefs of the agents in a multi-agent system have been formally modelled in the last decades using doxastic logics. The possible worlds model and its associated Kripke semantics provide an intuitive semantics for these logics, but they commit us to model agents that are logically omniscient. We propose a way of avoiding this problem, using a new kind of entities called subjective situation...