نتایج جستجو برای: climatic scenario
تعداد نتایج: 121396 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In this paper we present a scenario analysis approach to perform water system planning and management under climatic and hydrological uncertainty. A DSS with a a graphical interface allows the user a friendly data-input phase and results analysis. Different generation techniques can be used to set up and analyze a number of scenarios. Uncertainty is modeled by a scenario-tree in a multistage en...
This paper analyzes the economic and climatic impacts of the EMF 19 emission scenarios. A reference scenario, three emission scenarios targeting 550 ppmv atmospheric concentration, and three tax scenarios are analyzed. The profiles of energy consumption and economic losses of each policy scenario are compared to the reference scenario. The model also estimates that global mean temperature will ...
We revisit the case for the hyperthermophilic scenario for the origin of life and the last common ancestor. Evidence includes studies of phylogenetic trees, rRNA, G and C content, hyperthermophilic proteins, correlations between maximal temperature tolerances and genetic distances, saline stabilization of DNA/RNA, and the inferred climatic temperatures of the early Earth. Although some doubts r...
SUDPLAN aims at a new and visionary capacity to link existing environmental simulation models, information and sensor infrastructures, SDI’s and climatic scenario databases, providing visualization of long term forecasts of environmental factors for urban subsystems such as building and architecture, traffic and transport, landscape planning and local water runoff. End-users shall be enabled to...
Climate change has been identified as the primary threat to the integrity and functioning of ecosystems in this century, although there is still much uncertainty about its effects and the degree of vulnerability for different ecosystems to this threat. Here we propose a new methodological approach capable of measuring and mapping the resilience of terrestrial ecosystems at large scales based on...
This study aims to set up a comprehensive approach to the Vulnerability and Impact Assessment (VIA) of river erosion and to suggest Ecosystem-based Adaptation (EbA) practices. Based on the analysis of vulnerability using the Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework, this paper discusses some of the significant climatic (rainfall pattern, temperature, seasonal drift, cold wave and...
Living with fire is a challenge for human communities because they are influenced by socio-economic, political, ecological and climatic processes at various spatial and temporal scales. Over the course of 2 days, the authors discussed how communities could live with fire challenges at local, national and transnational scales. Exploiting our diverse, international and interdisciplinary expertise...
INTRODUCTION Cholera, an infectious diarrheal disease, has been shown to be associated with large scale hydroclimatic processes. The sudden and sporadic occurrence of epidemic cholera is linked with high mortality rates, in part, due to uncertainty in timing and location of outbreaks. Improved understanding of the relationship between pathogenic abundance and climatic processes allows predictio...
In consideration of the steady entanglements of viticulture with the environmental features – including climate – it is of concern to project which climatic conditions an area is expected to face in a changing climate scenario. A quantitative approach helps in assessing class shift in climate classification; both “generic” climatic and bioclimatic indices were considered in this study, namely: ...
Study of climatic condition has been an active c h a l l e n g i n g research area in scientific community. During last decade the concern of global warming has attracted attention not only of the scientists but also of common people. In the current scenario each and every individual is concerned about the changing climatic conditions and interested in knowing daily weather conditions to unders...
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