In this paper, we show that the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula could be used as a recursive formula for computing the m-step-ahead conditional density of a Markov bilinear model. The stationary marginal probability density function of the model may be approximated by the m-step-ahead conditional density for sufficiently large m.

this paper examines the effect of systematic risk on accounting conservatism. the idea is that in firms with higher systematic risk, managers have higher incentives to delay the recognition of bad news in the hope of future good news. they also face less demand for conservatism from investors and auditors. in this paper, for measuring systematic risk and accounting conservatism, we used beta fr...

This paper presents axioms for systems of conditional preferences and provides representation results for these systems. It reports on a new way of representing a system of conditional preferences, by means of a system of conditional lexicographic probabilities (SCLP) (cf. Asheim and Perea, Games and Economic Behavior, forthcoming). An SCLP ensures well-defined conditional beliefs representing ...

empirical researches have shown that in highly volatile market, conditional correlation between returns is stronger, so diversification cannot reduce risk. to test this claim in iran’s financial market, quintiles of stock return distribution have been estimated by kernel density and garch models. then, average conditional correlation, error variance and conditional capm has been calculated to t...

the current paper examines intertemporal capital asset pricing model in iran’s stock market. dynamic conditional correlation was used to estimate conditional variance and covariance portfolios with market returns. time varying beta is estimated by kalman filter method. based on the obtained results, risk aversion coefficients were between 0.013 and 0.28 and the average was 0.20. significance of...