نتایج جستجو برای: epidemic forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 88968 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Eritrea has a successful malaria control program, but it is still susceptible to devastating malaria epidemics. Monthly data on clinical malaria cases from 242 health facilities in 58 subzobas (districts) of Eritrea from 1996 to 2003 were used in a novel stratification process using principal component analysis and nonhierarchical clustering to define five areas with distinct malaria intensity ...
in this paper, a five–dimensional mathematical model is proposed for the transmission dynamics of hiv/aids within a population of varying size. in writing the model, we have divided the population under consideration into five sub classes of susceptible, infective, pre-aids, aids related complex and that of aids patients. the model has two non- negative equilibria namely, a disease free and the...
1. Partially-observed Markov processes 1 2. A first example: a discrete-time bivariate autoregressive process. 3 3. Defining a partially observed Markov process in pomp. 3 4. Simulating the model 5 5. Computing likelihood using particle filtering 6 6. Interlude: utility functions for extracting and changing pieces of a pomp object 9 7. Estimating parameters using iterated filtering: mif 10 8. N...
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