In this paper, I explore conditions that contribute to a rare outcome in ethnic party systems: the election of parties with moderate positions on interethnic relations. More specifically, I investigate why voters of the small, impoverished, and ethnically fragmented states of Bosnia and Macedonia, which share the same electoral system, chose parties with divergent positions on interethnic relat...

Research suggests that the mind contains a set of adaptations for detecting alliances: an alliance detection system, which monitors for, encodes, and stores alliance information and then modifies the activation of stored alliance categories according to how likely they will predict behavior within a particular social interaction. Previous studies have established the activation of this system w...

We show that factor forecasting models deliver real-time gains over autoregressive models for US real activity variables during the recent period, but are less successful for nominal variables. The gains are largely due to the Financial Crisis period, and are primarily at the shortest (one quarter ahead) horizon. Excluding the preGreat Moderation years from the factor forecasting model estimati...

This paper examines the practices, performance, and perceptions of messaging platform Telegram as an actor in 2020 Belarus protests, using publicly available data from Telegram’s public statements, protest-related groups, media coverage. Developing a novel conceptualization actorness, we critically assess role protests examine whether is seen playing active Belarusian contentious politics. We f...

says : During the month of July the General Election in England has occupied the thoughts of all who take an interest in Home politics, and it has struck me that perhaps the readers of the Indian Medical Gazette might be interested in a few remarks on the presence in Parliament of members of our profession at home, with lists of those who have, during the last ten 37ears, succeeded or failed in...

The present study tested a continuum model of paranoid symptom expression in a sample of African-American men receiving inpatient treatment in a state psychiatric hospital. The continuum measure comprised the scales of Distrust (DST), Perceived Hostility of Others (PHO), and False Beliefs and Perceptions (FBP) from the Psychiatric Epidemiology Research Interview (PERI), reflecting mild to sever...

Articles Demographic Dimensions of World Politics: P. M. Hauser .......................... 1641 Population explosion has implications for the coinflict between the free world and the Communist bloc. Sir Francis Simon: P. W. Bridgman ...... .................................. 1647 Knowledge of the properties of matter at tenmperatures near absolute zero has been increased greatly by his work. Cha...

This article describes and validates an agent-based model that integrates social psychological theories on collective effort, group identity, and interpersonal bonds to understand trade-offs in designing online communities. The model is then used to examine when different types of moderation in online communities will be valuable: no moderation in which all members are exposed to all messages, ...

Resum Moderation in virtual communities should not be a private privilege. This paper proposes a method for participants in a social network to decide their own rules for accepting (or not) contents. With the norm argument map, participants are able to argue about norms and voice their opinions about other people?s arguments. This structure, equipped with a method to fuse all the data introduce...