housing market in iran got out of recession in year 1384 and turn into abnormal growth. but following the housing price growth, which continued until 1386, it deals with the slowdown of the housing market and stable prices in the spring of 1387. afterward, decreasing trend in housing prices continued in the summer, in spite of increase in global housing prices. in this paper, it is investigated...

We present a dynamical theory of asset price bubbles that exhibits the appearance of bubbles and their subsequent crashes. We show that when speculative trends dominate over fundamental beliefs, bubbles form, leading to the growth of asset prices away from their fundamental value. This growth makes the system increasingly susceptible to any exogenous shock, thus eventually precipitating a crash...

Three years ago at this same conference, I was given an opportunity to talk about Japan’s monetary policy in the years when asset price bubbles expanded.1 Today, I would like mainly to review monetary policy in the following phase when the bubbles burst, for an asset price swing is the “changing economic environment” most relevant to us. Incidentally, we are now in the third phase when the econ...

t his paper investigates the existence of possible spillover effects among four main asset markets namely foreign exchange, stock, gold, and housing markets in iran from 2002:03 to 2015:06. for this purpose, we have exploited sigma-point kalman filter (spkf) to extract the bubble component of assets prices in the aforementioned markets. then, in order to analyze the price bubbles spillover amon...

for helpful discussions and comments, and to Pam Dillon and Paula Drew for assistance in preparing this document. The views expressed are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the Reserve Bank of Australia.