Purpose –The implementation of the Islamic capital market in Indonesia applies principles participation that meets sharia i.e. non-bubble stock. Screening companies through methods applied by authority agencies with certain prerequisites actually cannot avoid speculative actions represent bubble price. This research intended to detect existence price Indonesian Stock Index. very useful f...

The fiscal theory of the price level asserts that the price level is determined by the ratio of outstanding public nominal debt into the present value of real primary budget surpluses of the government. We here argue that price determinacy, in general, fails when at least part of the public debt takes the form of securities of infinite maturity. Indeed, price determinacy requires non-Ricardian ...

This paper tests for speculative bubbles in the medieval English property market based on a unique hand-collected dataset from feet of fines spanning fourteenth and fifteenth centuries. We focus asset types where there are sufficiently large numbers transactions each year to make long reliable run information, we transform this into annual time-series prices. employ regime switching model that ...

This paper thoroughly integrates speculative bubbles to corporate finance literature by focusing on dividend policy issues. More specifically, we examine the importance of when testing for in S&P 500 equity index a data set spanning 1871 2014. Given phenomenon smoothing, particular U.S., question usefulness observed payments as fundamental factor bubbles. Circumventing construct hypothetical pa...

A new recursive regression methodology is introduced to analyze the bubble characteristics of various financial time series during the subprime crisis. The methods modify a technique proposed in Phillips, Wu, and Yu (2011) and provide a technology for identifying bubble behavior with consistent dating of their origi-nation and collapse. The tests serve as an early warning diagnostic of bubble a...

This paper surveys the persian monetary crises due to economic sanctions and speculative attacks that leads to high inflation. Economic sanctions are associated with various forms of trade barriers and restriction on financial transactions. Among the most influential sanctions on Iran's oil export and central bank sanctions are noted that their Aims to reduce Iran's oil revenues and Devaluation...

We analyze a simple model of an asset market, in which a large rational trader interacts with ‘‘noise speculators’’ who seek short-run speculative gains, and become active following a prolonged episode of mispricing relative to the asset’s fundamental value. Themodel gives rise to price patterns such as bubble dynamics, positive short-run correlation and vanishing long-run correlation of price ...

A trivariate vector autoregression time series process, based on a present-value land price model, is used to decompose Iowa farmland prices into fundamental and non-fundamental components. A recent study, by Falk and Lee (1998), found that non-fundamental shocks are an important source of volatility in farmland prices and it was interpreted that these price movements were due to fads not specu...

We study the formation of derivative prices in equilibrium between risk-neutral agents with heterogeneous beliefs about the dynamics of the underlying. Under the condition that short-selling is limited, we prove the existence of a unique equilibrium price and show that it incorporates the speculative value of possibly reselling the derivative. This value typically leads to a bubble; that is, th...