Managers often release earnings forecasts in advance of actual earnings announcements. It would appear that managers should at best be indifferent to such release given that the actual earnings will be disclosed at a future date. However, if the manager’s objective is to maximize his firm’s market value and he has control of production decisions, he may be motivated to release an earnings forec...

We find that on average an announcement of rising unemployment is “good news” for stocks during economic expansions and “bad news” during economic contractions. Thus stock prices usually increase on news of rising unemployment, since the economy is usually in an expansion phase. We provide an explanation for this phenomenon. Unemployment news bundles two primitive types of information relevant ...

so far, the financial experts could not calculate independent earnings to have a necessary quality. in this case, they can reach a range of earnings, which show a more correct form of quality of earnings, of course with performing the suitable equitabilities. therefore, the concept of quality of earnings is not a fixed defining. however, it is a relative concept that depends to its relation to ...

Capital Market Pressures and Earnings Management: Evidence from U.S. Dual-Class Firms Feng Chen In a dual-class share structure, one class of common stock typically has more votes per share than the other, but both classes have equal or similar cash flow rights per share. While this dual-class structure is likely to entrench management, it potentially reduces capital market pressures on manager...

This paper estimates future adult earnings effects associated with a universal pre-K program in Tulsa, Oklahoma. These informed projections help to compensate for the lack of long-term data on universal pre-K programs, while using metrics that relate test scores to valued social benefits. Combining testscore data from the fall of 2006 and recent findings by Chetty et al. (forthcoming) on the re...

Proposals for changes in the earnings test continue to be made. An important element in a decision to change the test is who receives the increased benefits resulting from the change. This article estimates and analyzes the distribution of increased benefits resulting from: (a) The liberalization in the test contained in the 1977 social security amendments, (b) possible future liberalizations o...

Changes in labor markets over the past 30 years suggest upcoming changes in the distribution of wealth at retirement. Workers from the baby boom cohort have spent the majority of their working years in a labor market with substantially higher earnings inequality than previous generations. This paper investigates how changes in lifetime earnings distributions affect the distribution of retiremen...

At the start of February 2008 you asked me to review aspects of the experimental series of Average Weekly Earnings produced by the ONS and I now submit the following report. I recognize that the Review has taken longer than initially hoped. This is because the issues involved were complex and it took some time to come to grips with them despite the fact that the documentation made available by ...

This paper investigates the effects of heterogeneous beliefs about future firm earnings and agency conflicts on corporate capital structure. We develop a dynamic structural model in which the manager of a firm has discretion in financing and effort and receives dynamic incentives through an explicit contract with shareholders in the presence of heterogeneous beliefs between the two parties. The...