weather circulation patterns play a main role in the occurrence of environmental phenomena especially in middle latitude. occurrence of dry and wet spells is in relation to synoptical system repetitions and types of weather. in this research first by using of standard precipitation index (spi), extensive droughts in the province were identified. then by using principal component analysis (pca) ...

Density forecasts for weather variables are useful for the many industries exposed to weather risk. Weather ensemble predictions are generated from atmospheric models and consist of multiple future scenarios for a weather variable. The distribution of the scenarios can be used as a density forecast, which is needed for pricing weather derivatives. We consider one to 10 dayahead density forecast...

Weather and climate affect many ecological processes, making spatially continuous yet fine-resolution weather data desirable for ecological research and predictions. Numerous downscaled weather data sets exist, but little attempt has been made to evaluate them systematically. Here we address this shortcoming by focusing on four major questions: (1) How accurate are downscaled, gridded climate d...

In this paper, a new form of weather derivative contract, namely the climatic zone-based growth degree-day (GDD) contract, is introduced. The objective is to increase the risk management efficiency in the agricultural sector of China and to reduce the model dimension of multi-regional temperature-based weather derivatives pricing. Since the proposed contract serves as a risk management tool for...

Given the uneven distribution of sounding and automatic weather stations throughout the Fujian province of China, a method for the extension of meteorological elements from point data to a three dimensional field is proposed, which can be used for hail detection and other weather forecasts. Considering the temperature and air pressure as the classic meteorological elements, these are extended t...

Common forensic entomology practice has been to collect the largest Diptera larvae from a scene and use published developmental data, with temperature data from the nearest weather station, to estimate larval development time and post-colonization intervals (PCIs). To evaluate the accuracy of PCI estimates among Calliphoridae species and spatially distinct temperature sources, larval communitie...

An instability index, called the shape factor (SF), for weather forecasting was proposed using temperature profiles from a NASA/LaRC-hosted web-page featuring NOAA Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) radiosonde data used for short-term weather predictions. The index of instability was predicated on the sign and magnitude of the gradient of the equivalent potential temperature. A training data set of tempe...

The effect of bedding levels and trailer compartment on internal trailer temperature and relative humidity (RH) during loading and transport of finishing pigs was evaluated in cold and mild weather. Three levels of bedding were used in each experiment: 0.6 m³, 1.2 m³, and 2.4 m³. In mild weather, internal temperatures were lower when 1.2 m³ or 2.4 m³ of bedding were used during loading and tran...

INTRODUCTION While the association of weather and mortality has been well documented for moderate climate zones, little is known about sub-tropical zones, particularly Bangladesh. This study aims to assess the short-term relationship of temperature and rainfall on daily mortality after controlling for seasonality and time-trends. The study used data from Matlab, Bangladesh, where a rigorous hea...