نتایج جستجو برای: wind uncertainty

تعداد نتایج: 203470  

2012
Wesam H. Al-Sabban Luis F. Gonzalez Ryan N. Smith Gordon F. Wyeth

Exploiting wind-energy is one possible way to extend flight duration for Unmanned Arial Vehicles. Wind-energy can also be used to minimise energy consumption for a planned path. In this paper, we consider uncertain time-varying wind fields and plan a path through them. A Gaussian distribution is used to determine uncertainty in the Time-varying wind fields. We use Markov Decision Process to pla...

2012
Torben Mikkelsen

Remote sensing by LIDARs and SODARs is now ubiquitous in the wind energy industry, but both these technologies are still rapidly changing. What accuracy and reliability can today be expected from SODAR wind measurements? Is there traceable evidence for performance? Environmental factors, turbulent fluctuations and non-uniform terrain all affect the wind speed uncertainty. So site-to-site variat...

Uncertainty analysis of voltage in distribution system is the main feature of current study. This paper presents a probabilistic analysis of radial distribution networks considering wind power resources. The wind turbines are modeled as probability distribution functions. Also, the loads are modeled with Gaussian and gamma distributions. Monte Carlo simulation is used for the probabilistic load...

2015
Le Chen Erin MacDonald Robert Stephenson Judy Vance Baskar Ganapathysubramanian Eugene S. Takle

Chen, Le, "Wind farm layout optimization under uncertainty with landowners' financial and noise concerns" (2013). Graduate Theses and Dissertations. Paper 13502. Figure 1.1 Property value and support for wind farm projects have congruent trends [4, 5]. 3

2016
Ali Karimi Varkani Ali Daraeepour Hassan Monsef

Competitive structure of power markets causes various challenges for wind resources to participate in these markets. Indeed, production uncertainty is the main cause of their low income. Thus, they are usually supported by system operators, which is in contrast with the competitive paradigm of power markets. In this paper, a new strategy for increasing the profits of wind resources is proposed....

2017
Iain Dinwoodie David McMillan Iraklis Lazakis Yalcin Dalgic Matthew Revie

This paper considers the technical and practical challenges involved in modelling emerging engineering problems. The inherent uncertainty and potential for change in operating environment and procedures adds significant complexity to the model development process. This is demonstrated by considering the development of a model to quantify the uncertainty associated with the influence of the wind...

2016
Yelena Pichugina Robert Banta Alan Brewer Aditya Choukulkar Melinda Marquis Joe Olson Mike Hardesty

This paper will provide an overview of some projects in support of Wind Energy development involving Doppler lidar measurement of wind flow profiles. The high temporal and vertical resolution of these profiles allows the uncertainty of Numerical Weather Prediction models to be evaluated in forecasting dynamic processes and wind flow phenomena in the layer of rotor-blade operation.

Journal: :Journal of physics 2022

Abstract An artificial neural network based reduced order model (ROM) is developed to predict the load coefficients and performance of wind turbine airfoils. The trained using a representative database 972 airfoil shapes generated by perturbing design parameters in each 12 baseline airfoils defining commercially relevant modern turbines. predictions from our ROM show excellent agreement with CF...

2016
Mazaher Haji Bashi Gholamreza Yousefi Claus Leth Bak Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai

As a long term bidding behavior, bid shading is exhibited by wind farms participating in real Uniform Price (UP) markets. This signifies that the wind farm owners bid far below their true long run marginal cost. In this paper, a method is proposed to consider the uncertainty of bidding admission in the long term expected revenue of wind farms. We show that this consideration could perfectly exp...

2017
A. Tuohy M. O’Malley

This paper examines the operation of the Irish power system with very high levels of wind energy, with and without pumped storage. A unit commitment model which accounts for the uncertainty in wind power is used. It is shown that as wind penetration increases, the optimal operation of storage depends on wind output as well as load. The main benefit from storage is shown to be a decrease in wind...

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