نتایج جستجو برای: 2080
تعداد نتایج: 878 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Concern about the impact of climate change on natural and socioeconomic systems has been increased in recent years and this issue caused an increasing interest in the scientific community . The aim of this study is to evaluate changes in parameters such as precipitation, minimum and maximum temperature by General Circulation Models (GCM) and its impact on average runoff using SWAT model in Gh...
اقلیم سیستم پیچیدهای است که عمدتا بهدلیل افزایش گازهای گلخانهای در حال تغییر است و گرمایش جهانی منجر به تشدید تغییرات عوامل اقلیمی از جمله مقدار بارش و شدت وقایع حدی بارش میشود. در اثر تغییر اقلیم در آینده انتظار تغییر در میزان و حجم فرسایش خاک وجود دارد که مهمترین عامل اثر افزایش قدرت فرسایندگی باران میباشد. هدف از این تحقیق تعیین اثر تغییر اقلیم بر عامل فرسایندگی باران است. به این منظور ...
Although numerous species distribution models have been developed, most were based on insufficient distribution data or used older climate change scenarios. We aimed to quantify changes in projected ranges and threat level by the years 2061-2080, for 12 European forest tree species under three climate change scenarios. We combined tree distribution data from the Global Biodiversity Information ...
Indonesia is a global hotspot of plant diversity. The country contains medicinal plants that have immense value to the people and worldwide. However, climate change affecting distribution in Indonesia. In this study, future greenhouse gas emission scenarios RCP4.5 RCP8.5 for mid-term projection 2050 long-term 2080 were used simulate effect upon within 2080, under both RCP species richness expec...
South Pacific albacore ( Thunnus alalunga ) is a highly migratory tuna species widely distributed throughout 0°–50°S in the Ocean. Climate-driven changes oceanographic condition largely influence distribution, relative abundance, and consequent availability by longline fisheries. In this study, we examined habitat preference spatial distribution of south using generalized additive model fitted ...
Understanding future changes in water supply and requirement under climate change is of great significance for long-term resource management agricultural planning. In this study, daily minimum temperature (Tmin), maximum (Tmax), solar radiation (Rad), precipitation 26 meteorological stations RCP4.5 RCP8.5 MIRCO5 the period 2021–2080 were downscaled by LARS-WG model, average relative humidity (R...
BACKGROUND Although many climate-sensitive environmental exposures are related to mortality and morbidity, there is a paucity of estimates of the public health burden attributable to climate change. OBJECTIVE We estimated the excess current and future public health impacts related to respiratory hospitalizations attributable to extreme heat in summer in New York State (NYS) overall, its geogr...
BACKGROUND On May 12th 2008, an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 on the Richter scale struck China, causing a large number of casualties and significant economic losses. By interviewing 2080 survivors of Wenchuan earthquake, the objective of this study is to estimate the role of different types of social support as possible moderating factors between anxiety and depression. METHODS A strati...
The aims of this study were to determine the extent and distribution of an OSPAR priority habitat under current baseline ocean temperatures; to illustrate the prospect for habitat loss under a changing ocean temperature scenario; and to demonstrate the potential application of predictive habitat mapping in "future-proofing" conservation and biodiversity management. Maxent modelling and GIS envi...
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