abstract knowledge of the coordination of the agricultural activities in every region with the weather and climate condition of that area is necessary for any kind of agriculture activity. therefore, understanding the climate and analyzing the ecophysiological characteristics of plants are the most important factors in production. saffron is one of the most valuable plants, which is planted in ...

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C18 C51 Keywords: Temperature Time series model Weather derivatives Seasonality GARCH In this paper we present a stochastic model for daily average temperature. The model contains seasonality, a low-order autoregressive component and a variance describing the heteroskedastic residuals. The model is estimated on daily average temperature records from Sto...

A thorough understanding of thermal soil regimes is critical information for a wide variety of disciplines and engineering applications as well as for the evaluation of potential and limitations of thermal and optical sensors. In this study we have developed a procedure for the evaluation of global thermal soil regimes. First, pedotransfer functions are used to derive thermal soil properties (v...

Extreme droughts and high temperatures have becomemore frequent in the last two decades, increasing fire risk in the Amazon. The overarching goal of this study is to shed light on the influence of temperature and rainfall on fire occurrence for the 1998–2013 period. We use a Poisson regression to model satellite-based monthly fire counts across the Brazilian Amazon as a function of observed rai...

We model the effects of both stochastic and deterministic temperature variations on arthropod predator-prey systems. Specifically, we study the stochastic dynamics of arthropod predator-prey interactions under a vary ing temperature regime, and we develop an individual model of a prey under pressure from a predator, with vigilance (or foraging effort), search rates, at tack rates, and other pre...