نتایج جستجو برای: decision modelling
تعداد نتایج: 502649 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
The IWRAM Decision Support System was developed to consider economic, environmental, and sociocultural trade-offs involved with resource competition and development in the Mae Chaem catchment in Northern Thailand. IWRAM contains two modelling toolboxes utilising a nodal network structure for catchment analysis: a Biophysical Toolbox, for considering the biophysical (erosion, streamflow, crop) i...
With the recent explosion of choices available to us in every walk of our life, capturing the choice behavior exhibited by individuals has become increasingly important to many businesses. At the core, capturing choice behavior boils down to being able to predict the probability of choosing a particular alternative from an offer set, given historical choice data about an individual or a group o...
This paper incorporates the observation that in banking industries, debts are usually affected by current return and cannot be predetermined before competition. In a portfolio choice model, we have analyzed how two banks sequentially decide their capital structures through choosing equity levels, and then the levels of risky investment which is subject to the rival’s competition. Taking equity ...
Within the epidemic game literature, there is an inconsistency over whether increases in infection risk can discourage prevention practices. In one theory, investments in social distancing and prophylaxis increase monotonely with infection pressure, while in another, there is a turning-point beyond which investments drop off. To-date, the reasons for this difference have been unclear. This arti...
The use of advanced data mining techniques to improve decision making has already taken root in property and casualty insurance as well as in many other industries [1, 2]. However, the application of such techniques for more objective, consistent and optimal decision making in the life insurance industry is still in a nascent stage. This article will describe ways data mining and multivariate a...
We report on an experiment investigating whether the Hayak Hypothesis (Smith, 1982) extends to the long run setting. We consider two environments; one with a common production technology having a U-shaped long run average cost curve and a single competitive equilibrium, and another with a common constant returns to scale technology having a constant long run average cost curve and multiple comp...
We aim to produce predictive models that are not only accurate, but are also interpretable to human experts. We introduce a generative model called the Bayesian List Machine for fitting decision lists, a type of interpretable classifier, to data. We use the model to predict stroke in atrial fibrillation patients, and produce predictive models that are simple enough to be understood by patients ...
When we build a predictive model of a drug property we rigorously assess its predictive accuracy, but we are rarely able to address the most important question, "How useful will the model be in making a decision in a practical context?" To answer this requires an understanding of the prior probability distribution ("the prior") and hence prevalence of negative outcomes due to the property being...
The main purpose of this study is to derive forest recreation demand in Jizerske Mountains Protected Landscape Area and to disentangle aesthetic factors that are responsible for changes in recreation utility of visitors. We estimate visitors’ preferences for alternative forest sites as a function of site characteristics using choice experiment technique. As forest scenic beauty may represent a ...
Our increasing dependence on information technologies and autonomous systems has escalated international concern for informationand cyber-security in the face of politically, socially and religiously motivated cyber-attacks. Information warfare tactics that interfere with the flow of information can challenge the survival of individuals and groups. It is increasingly important that both humans ...
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