When any earthquake occurs, the possibility that it might be a foreshock increases the probability that a larger earthquake will occur nearby within the next few days. Clearly, the probability of a very large earthquake ought to be higher if the candidate foreshock were on or near a fault capable of producing that very large mainshock, especially if the fault is towards the end of its seismic c...

Golsar is located in north-west of Rasht the capital city of Guilan province. This region, according to standards 2800, is identified among the regions with relatively high risk of earthquake. A set of historical and instrumental seismicity data used in radius of 200 km which covers the period twelveth century until now. Kijko method has been applied for estimating for parameters considering of...

The energy released by the earthquakes occurred in the seismogenetic area of the southern Kamchatka (Russia) from January 1977 to December 2004, reveals an increase in the peak energy in the period 1992–1999. This increase is related to the occurrence of seven earthquakes with magnitude ranging from 6.9 to 7.7; the first of these earthquakes happened on 2 March 1992 with M=7.1. For many years, ...

Epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) point processes are a common model for the occurrence of earthquake events. ETAS models consist of a stationary background Poisson process modeling spontaneous earthquakes and a triggering kernel representing the space-time-magnitude distribution of aftershocks. Two popular non-parametric methods for estimation of the background intensity include histogr...