Before and during the 2010 Soccer World Cup, participants made probabilistic forecasts for the outcomes of the tournament. We examine the relationship between depression levels and performance in this real-world forecasting task. Across two different waves of predictions, for both continuous and categorical classifications of depression, and with multiple measures of prediction accuracy, we fin...

5. Mittleman MA, Mostofsky E. Physical, psychological and chemical triggers of acute cardiovascular events: preventive strategies. Circulation. 2011;124(3):346-54. References DOI: 10.5935.abc.201330219 Dear Editor, The relationship between sports events and ACS (Acute Coronary Syndrome) has been the subject of some studies in the literature, with controversial results, and was recently addresse...

Forecasting markets are a promising approach for predicting future events. The basic idea of a forecasting market is to trade virtual stocks whose final value is tied to a particular future event. The market prices can then be interpreted as predictions of the probability of those future events. The results of recent studies on forecasting markets are encouraging. However, various design issues...

How to select participants for a sports tournament when they are divided into different sets, and one should find fair number of slots each set? We propose address this question by resorting standard tools from the allocation literature. To frame our discussion, we focus on increase in participating teams FIFA World Cup. explore additional among continental confederations. consider 10 allocatio...