A three-state model based on the Potts model is proposed to simulate financial markets. The three states are assigned to ”buy”, ”sell” and ”inactive” states. The model shows the main stylized facts observed in the financial market: fat-tailed distributions of returns and long time correlations in the absolute returns. At low inactivity rate, the model effectively reduces to the two-state model ...

importance of risk and uncertainty in financial markets became more apparent after financial crisis in 2007. volatility is the most important measure of risk in financial markets. thus, modeling volatility of financial markets is one of the important issues in finance and economics. in this paper first we tried to specify key features of volatility of daily returns of tehran stock exchange pric...

We use a standard single-agent model to conduct a simple consumption growth accounting exercise. Consumption growth is driven by news about current and expected future returns on the market portfolio. The market portfolio includes financial and human wealth. We impute the residual of consumption growth innovations that cannot be attributed to either news about financial asset returns or future ...