The article is devoted to the problem of applying the formal data mining tool – forecasting – for the developing of new software and for reengineering the present software. We propose the algorithm adjustments of the time series forecasting. This algorithm takes into account the dependence of the current state of time series from the previous one, the influence of basic fuzzy projected trends i...

1 Singh, S. "Forecasting using a Fuzzy Nearest Neighbour Method", Proc. 6th International Conference on Fuzzy Theory and Technology , Fourth Joint Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS'98), North Carolina, vol. 1, pp.80-83, 1998 (23-28 October ,1998) ABSTRACT This paper explores a nearest neighbour pattern recognition method for time-series forecasting. A nearest neighbour method (FNNM) base...

This paper presents a neural fuzzy network model for seasonal streamflow forecasting. The model is based on a constructive learning method where neurons groups compete when the network receives a new input, so that it learns the fuzzy rules and membership functions essential for modelling a fuzzy system. The model was applied to the problem of seasonal streamflow forecasting using a database of...

Load forecasting is essential for planning and operation in energy management. It enhances the Energy efficient and reliable operation of a power system. The energy supplied by utilities meets the load plus the energy lost in the system is ensured by this tool. Since in power system the next day’s power generation must be scheduled every day. The dayahead short term load forecasting (STLF) is a...

The fast and accurate forecasting method can help makers to make appropriate strategy. Zadeh was given the definition of a fuzzy set in 1965. Song and Chissom proposed the definition and the forecasting framework of fuzzy time series in 1993. Sullivan and Woodall first proposed the forecasting method to handle one factor with probability Markov model in 1994. Li and Cheng proposed a stochastic ...

Wind generation is hectic by nature, making wind power forecasting highly challenging, particularly for short time frames. Forecasting of wind power is becoming progressively more important to power system operators and electricity market.Wind power is variable and irregular over various timescales as it is weather dependent. Thus precise forecasting of wind power is acknowledged as a major con...

One of the main problems in the management of large water supply and distribution systems is the forecasting of daily demand in order to schedule pumping effort and minimize costs. This paper examines a methodology for consumer demand modeling and prediction in a real-time environment of an irrigation water distribution system. The approach is based on Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inferences System (AN...

In the past two decades, many forecasting models based on the concepts of fuzzy time series have been proposed for dealing with various problem domains. In this paper, we present a novel model to forecast enrollments and the close prices of stock based on particle swarm optimization and generalized fuzzy logical relationships. After that some concepts of the generalized fuzzy logical relationsh...

Several time-variant fuzzy time series models have been developed during the last decade. These models usually focus on forecasting stationary of trend time series, but they are not suitable for forecasting seasonal time series. Furthermore, several factors that affect the forecasting accuracy are not carefully examined, such as interval length, interval number, and level of window base. Aiming...

in recent years, use of fuzzy collection theories for modeling of hydrological phenomenon's that is including complexity and uncertainly is considered scholars. so in this research, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (anfis) is used for performance of river flow forecasting process. in this research, three parameters such as raining, temperature and daily discharge of lighvanchai basin ...