Investors’ search for successful forecasting models leads the data generating process for financial returns to change over time which means that individual return forecasting models can at best hope to uncover evidence of ‘local’ predictability. We illustrate this point on a suite of forecasting models used to predict US stock returns and propose an adaptive forecast combination approach. Most ...

Based on the traditional trip attraction model, a new method of operation condition evaluation and supply scale forecasting for public parking facilities is proposed. It begins with the operation condition investigation of existing parking facilities, and then analyzes qualitatively the existing parking facilities supply scale by four indexes. Finally, it can calculate the supply scale in predi...

A procedure is developed to model network traffic for planning applications in small and/or medium-sized communities with limited planning resources. The proposed method is based on the theories and assumptions of conventional four-step travel demand models, but the baseline trip table is estimated from existing traffic counts using path flow estimator PFE to render a quick response approach th...

Using extensive diary data from people taking their driver's license exam, the authors investigated the role of time in affective forecasting accuracy. Replicating existing findings, participants grossly overestimated the intensity and duration of their negative affect after failure and only slightly overestimated the intensity and duration of their positive affect after success. Extending exis...

Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is one of the most important urban systems that its functionality affects other urban systems directly and indirectly. In developing societies, increasing the transportation system efficiency is an important concern, because variety of problems such as heavy traffic condition, rise of the accident rate and the reduced performance happen with the rise of p...

The soak-time of vehicle trip starts is defined as the duration of time in which the vehicle’s engine is not operating and that precedes a successful vehicle start. The temporal distribution of the soak-time in an area is an important determinant of area-wide mobile source emissions. In the current paper, we formulate and implement a methodology for modeling soak-time durations. The methodology...

Length of travel appears to be associated with health risks. GeoSentinel Surveillance Network data for 4,039 long-term travelers (trip duration >6 months) seen after travel during June 1, 1996, through December 31, 2008, were compared with data for 24,807 short-term travelers (trip duration <1 month). Long-term travelers traveled more often than short-term travelers for volunteer activities (39...

We demonstrate experimentally passive mode-locking of an optoelectronic oscillator which generates a single-cycle radio-frequency pulse train. The measured pulse to pulse jitter was less than 5 ppm of the round-trip duration. The pulse waveform was repeated each round-trip. This result indicates that the relative phase between the pulse envelope and the carrier wave is autonomously locked. The ...