Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) adalah metode peramalan yang digunakan untuk mengolah data aktual dibentuk ke dalam nilai-nilai linguistik. Salah satu FTS yaitu berbasis Algoritma Novel. Novel merupakan perkembangan dari sebelumnya dimana pada langkah peramalannya menggunakan kecenderungan menentukan nilai peramalannya. Metode ini akan diaplikasikan Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) Kota Samarinda periode Ja...

In this paper mathematical methods for prediction of uncertain structural responses with the aid of fuzzy time series are presented. Uncertain measurments of structural loads and responses respectively at equally spaced discrete time points are modeled as fuzzy variables. Hence uncertain measurments over time are considered as time series with fuzzy data. The fuzzy variables are processed on th...

Fuzzy information granulation transfers the time series analysis from numerical platform to granular platform, which enables us study at a different granularity. In previous studies, each fuzzy granule in can reflect average, range, and linear trend characteristics of data corresponding window. order get more general granule, this paper proposes polynomial granules, both nonlinear The distance ...

For modeling of change of terminal server load, the approach including representation of time series of server parameters in the form of fuzzy time series is used. Further in the article the analysis of fuzzy time series is considered. The model of fuzzy tendencies is offered for terminal server traffic modeling. This model reflects change of the volume of terminal server traffic expressed ling...

0957-4174/$ see front matter 2008 Elsevier Ltd. A doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2008.04.001 * Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (C.H. Aladag A given observation in time series does not only depend on preceding one but also previous ones in general. Therefore, high order fuzzy time series approach might obtain better forecasts than does first order fuzzy time series approach. Definin...