Financial liberalisation and innovation (FLIB) in Australia over the 1980s and 1990s provided the institutional backdrop for one of the most rapid increases in household balance sheets and house prices in the world. An error correction model of quarterly Australian house prices for 1972-2006 identi…es the key long run drivers as real non-property income per house, the working age population pro...

We examine the effect of house price appreciation on bank loan portfolios during the 1996—2006 period. While most previous research in this area has concentrated on loan demand effects, we evaluate how house prices affect a bank’s credit supply. Controlling for possible simultaneity between house prices and bank loan portfolio growth, we find that banks affected by greater house price appreciat...

We construct a quantitative equilibrium model of the housing market in which an unanticipated increase in the supply of housing triggers default mortgages via its e ect on house prices. The decline in house prices creates an incentive to increase the consumption of housing space, but leverage makes it costly for homeowners to sell their homes and buy bigger ones (they must absorb large capital ...

We provide an analysis that might help distinguish rationally justified movements in house prices from potentially non-rational movements, using a two-sector business cycle model, in which investment in housing is subject to collateral constraints. A large portion of the evolution of U.S. house prices during the past 20 years can be reproduced when expectations of future income growth as publis...