Using the simple ETAS branching model of seismicity, which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes, we quantify the role played by the cascade of triggered seismicity in controlling the rate of aftershock decay as well as in the overall level of seismicity in the presence of a constant external seismicity source. We show that, in this model, the proportion of triggered seismi...

[1] We quantitatively map relative rate changes for the aftershock sequence following the second mainshock of the 1997 earthquake doublet (MW = 6.1, MW = 6.0) in the Kagoshima province (Japan). Using the spatial distribution of the modified Omori law parameters for aftershocks that occurred during the 47.8 days between the two mainshocks, we forecast the aftershock activity in the next 50 days ...

Despite the various studies carried out to evaluate effects of seismic sequences on structures, matter time gap required be considered between mainshock and its corresponding aftershocks in dynamic analyses has never been focused directly. This subtle but meantime effective subject, influences amount accumulated damage caused by earthquake sequences. In present study, 244 near fault ground moti...

Foreshock events provide valuable insight to predict imminent major earthquakes. However, it is difficult to identify them in real time. In this paper, I propose an algorithm based on deep learning to instantaneously classify a seismic waveform as a foreshock, mainshock or an aftershock event achieving a high accuracy of 99% in classification. As a result, this is by far the most reliable metho...

Using the simple ETAS branching model of seismicity, which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes, we quantify the role played by the cascade of triggered seismicity in controlling the rate of aftershock decay as well as the overall level of seismicity in the presence of a constant external seismicity source. We show that, in this model, the fraction of earthquakes in the po...

We study deep aseismic slip along the central section of the San Jacinto Fault, near the Anza Seismic Gap, in southern California. Elevated strain-rates following the remote Mw7.2 April 4, 2010 El Mayor-Cucapah and the local Mw5.4, July 7, 2010 Collins Valley earthquakes were recorded by Plate Boundary Observatory borehole strain-meters near Anza, and were accompanied by vigorous aftershock seq...