Although there is little academic research that supports the usefulness of technical analysis, its use remains widespread in commodity markets. Much prior research into technical analysis suffered from data-snooping biases. Using genetic programming, ex ante optimal technical trading strategies are identified. Because they are mechanically generated from simple arithmetic operators, they are fr...

The goal of this paper is to equip the investor with the tools and understanding necessary to evaluate managed currencies’ investments in a meaningful way. It is shown that managed currency funds might exhibit a common factor because most of the trading managers use similar technical forecasts to trigger their positions in the financial markets. Therefore, a dynamic benchmark is built, based on...

The proposed system introduces a new genetic algorithm for prediction of financial performance with input data sets from a financial domain. The goal is to produce a GA-based methodology for prediction of stock market performance along with an associative classifier from numerical data. This work restricts the numerical data to stock trading data. Stock trading data contains the quotes of stock...

Decision making process in stock trading is a complex one. There are numbers of technical indicators that are used by traders to study trends of the market and make buying and selling decisions based on their observations. This research seeks to deploy fuzzy inference to stock market, with four indicators used in technical analysis to aid in the decision making process in order to deal with pro...

Genetic programming (GP) is increasingly popular as a research tool for applications in finance and economics. One thread in this area is the use of GP to discover effective technical trading rules. In a seminal article, Allen & Karjalainen (1999) used GP to find rules that were profitable, but were nevertheless outperformed by the simple “buy and hold” trading strategy. Many succeeding attempt...

0

In this work we are proposing a trading system where fuzzy logic is applied not only for defining the trading rules, but also for managing the capital to invest. In fact, two fuzzy decision support systems are developed. The first one uses fuzzy logic to design the trading rules and to apply the stock market technical indicators. The second one enhances this fuzzy trading system adding a fuzzy ...