نتایج جستجو برای: tgarch

تعداد نتایج: 88  

Journal: :SHS web of conferences 2021

Research background: Financial globalization has opened international capital markets to investors and companies worldwide. However, the global financial crisis created big volatility in stock prices that induces a restriction reflection of full information. We explore ten EU Member States (France, Germany, The United Kingdom, Belgium, Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Spain), USA. ...

1999
Christian M. Hafner Helmut Herwartz

One puzzling behavior of asset returns for various frequencies is the of ten observed positive autocorrelation at lag To some extent this can be explained by standard asset pricing models when assuming time varying risk premia However one often nds better results when directly tting an autoregressive model for which there is little economic foundation One may ask whether the underlying process ...

2008
Jorge Caiado Nuno Crato

This paper proposes volatility and spectral based methods for cluster analysis of stock returns. Using the information about both the estimated parameters in the threshold GARCH (or TGARCH) equation and the periodogram of the squared returns, we compute a distance matrix for the stock returns. Clusters are formed by looking to the hierarchical structure tree (or dendrogram) and the computed pri...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه پیام نور - دانشگاه پیام نور استان تهران - دانشکده علوم پایه 1392

وجود تغییرات ساختاری در سری‏های زمانی مالی از عواملی است که موجب می‏شود مدلهای خطی برای تحلیل این سریها مناسب نباشند. نادیده گرفتن این تغییرات در سطح میانگین و واریانس سری‏های زمانی اثرات نامطلوبی روی تحلیل‏ها خواهد گذاشت. در بسیاری از سریهای زمانی مالی و اقتصادی فرض ثابت بودن واریانس برقرار نیست که در این شرایط مدلهای خانواده اتورگرسیو ناهمواریانس شرطی می‏توانن نتایج مطلوبی ارائه ‏دهند. در ای...

Journal: :Energy Economics 2021

The COVID pandemic reveals the fragility of global financial market during rare disasters. Conventional safe-haven assets like gold can be used to hedge against ordinary risks, but tail dependence substantially reduce hedging effectiveness. In contrast, green bonds focus on long-term, sustainable investments, so they become an important tool climate as well disasters COVID. copula approach base...

Journal: :Risks 2021

The volatility analysis of stock returns data is paramount in financial studies. We investigate the dynamics and randomness Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX-100) obtain insights into behavior investors during before coronavirus disease (COVID-19 pandemic). paper aims to present estimations quantification PSX-100. methodology includes two approaches: (i) implementation EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, TGARCH mode...

Journal: :FinTech 2022

This study provides evidence of the impact COVID-19 on five (5) Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) sectorial stocks (NSE Insurance, NSE Banking, Oil and Gas, Food Beverages, Consumer Goods). To achieve goal this paper, daily stock prices were obtained from a secondary source ranging 2 January 2020 to 25 March 2021. Because importance incorporating structural breaks in modelling returns, Zivot–Andrew...

ژورنال: :مجله تحقیقات اقتصادی 2007
حمید ابریشمی محسن مهرآرا یاسمین آریانا

شواهد موجود نشان می‎دهد که قیمت نفت‎خام یک گام تصادفی است به‎طوری‎که بهترین پیش‎بینی از قیمت در هر زمان مقدار آن در دوره قبل می‎باشد. اما بررسی سری زمانی روزانه قیمت نفت‎خام وست تگزاس اینترمدیت ((wti، از سال 1990 الی آخر نیمه اول سال 2005 نشان می‎دهد که این سری دارای نوسان خوشه‎ای است که به‎طور معمول نمی‎توان آن را در پیش‎بینی‎ها نادیده گرفت و یا حذف نمود. به همین دلیل مسأله اصلی در این تحقیق پ...

Journal: Iranian Economic Review 2019

I n this paper, the evaluation of the real exchange rate transfer and the asymmetric transmission of real exchange rate fluctuations to the export prices of food products for the country during the period (2001-2015) was studied using two approaches of PMG and GMM systems. The TGARCH method was used to calculate the real exchange rate fluctuation index and the Markov Switching method was u...

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