the frequent occurrence of currency crises in recent years brought the early warning literature back in the researchers spotlight. in recent years, concept of an early warning system (ews) developed that should be able to identify various costly events, such as currency crises, early enough for policy makers to reduce the costs. this study attempted by using iran's economy quarterly data d...

 As the number of independent countries increases and their economies become more integrated, we would expect to observe more multi-country currency :::union:::s. This paper explores the pros and cons for different countries to adopt as an anchor the US Dollar, the Euro or the Yen. In addition, it addresses the question of how co-movement of outputs and prices would respond to the formation of ...

Sudden stops can be characterized by sharp reversals in capital inflows, large declines in output, and steep collapses in real asset prices (Mendoza and Smith, 2009). In almost all recent crises, capital account reversals amounting to more than 10% of an afflicted country’s GDP have occurred (Calvo and Reinhart, 1999 and Nabli, 1999). More specifically, reversals in capital flows to emergin...

Abstract Financial crises and currency instabilities within developing and emerging economies during the last decade had a tremendous impact on the economic performance and increased vulnerability of economies against domestic and foreign shocks. The timing of capital liberalization is one of the significant debates among other issues related to currency instability, and it would be more conven...

in searching a market-neutral arbitrage strategy in forex market, we took a portfolio of three major currency pairs, eur-usd, usd-jpy, and eur-jpy. there are eight approaches, different cases of short and long positions; for example buying 1st and selling two others, etc. historical daily fx rates were gathered since january 1990 until february 2011. monthly covariances between daily growth rat...

Countries select particular exchange rate arrangements for a variety of reasons. For example, the ability to conduct an independent monetary policy is often cited as the main advantage of having a floating exchange rate regime. Conversely, countries sometimes tie their exchange rate to that of a larger country—foregoing the ability to conduct independent monetary policies—to benefit from the re...

Bitcoin is a disruptive new crypto-currency based on a decentralized open-source protocol which has been gradually gaining momentum. Perhaps the most important question that will affect Bitcoin’s success, is whether or not it will be able to scale to support the high volume of transactions required from a global currency system. We investigate the implications of having a higher transaction thr...