نتایج جستجو برای: الگوی vecm
تعداد نتایج: 45005 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Beaudry and Portier (2006) propose an identification scheme to study the effects of news shocks about future productivity in Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). This comment shows that their methodology does not have a unique solution, when applied to their VECMs with more than two variables. The problem arises from the interplay of cointegration assumptions and long-run restrictions imposed...
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Abstract: This study develops new tests for unit roots and cointegration rank in heterogeneous time series panels using methods that are robust to the presence of both incidental trends and cross sectional dependency of unknown form. Furthermore, the procedures do not require a choi...
The paper investigates the effects of imports and foreign capital inflows on economic growth in case of Pakistan over the period of 1990Q1-2008Q4. We have applied ARDL bounds testing approach to examine the long run relationship and investigated the direction of causality by using VECM multivariate framework. Our analysis confirms the long run relationship between imports, foreign capital inflo...
This study examined the effect of demographic bonuses, unemployment, and inflation on economic growth in Jambi Province. used secondary data from Central Bureau Statistics Province during 2000-2021. The were analyzed using Vector Error Correction Method (VECM). All tests this Stationarity Test, Lag Length Criteria VAR Stability Cointegration Granger Causality VECM Estimation. results showed tha...
This study proposed an optimal model to examine the relationship between Bitcoin price and six macroeconomic variables – price, Standard Poor's 500 volatility index, US treasury 10-year yield, consumer gold dollar index. It also examined effectiveness of vector error correction (VECM) in analyzing interrelationship among these variables. The authors employed following approach: first, sampled p...
مقاله حاضر به بررسی ارتباط میان درآمد حاصل از صادرات شرکت های پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران با بازدهی سهام آنها در صنعت پتروشیمی در دوره87-1378 می پردازد. نتایج به دست آمده از آزمون هم جمعی جوهانسون نشان داد بین متغیرهای مدل فوق یک رابطه ی تعادلی بلند مدت وجود دارد. همچنین نتایج حاصل از آزمون مدل تصحیح خطای برداری نشان داد که بین متغیرهای فوق یک رابطه ی یک طرفه و مستقیم از طرف درآمد حا...
چکیده مقایسه تطبیقی بین نتایج آزمون الگوی رشد برونزا و الگوی رشد درونزا با استفاده از بر تکنیک VECM در اقتصاد ایران طی دوره 86-1353، نشان میدهد که در بلندمدت رابطه متقابل مثبتی بین جمعیت و درآمد سرانه واقعی برقرار است. با این وجود، بر اساس تابع واکنش به ضربه، میتوان ارزیابی نمود که در کوتاهمدت رابطه معکوسی بین جمعیت و درآمد سرانه واقعی حاکم است. بهرغم آنکه این نتایج نشان میدهد رشد جمعیت...
This paper investigates the lag length selection problem of a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) by using a convergent information criterion and tools based on the Box-Pierce methodology recently proposed in the literature. The performances of these approaches for selecting of the optimal lag length are compared via Monte Carlo experiments. The effects of misspecified deterministic trend or c...
We study a large-dimensional Dynamic Factor Model where: (i) the vector of factors F t is I ( 1 ) and driven by number shocks that smaller than dimension ; and, (ii) idiosyncratic components are either or 0 . Under (i), cointegrated can be modeled as Vector Error Correction (VECM). (ii), we provide consistent estimators, both cross-sectional size n time T go to infinity, for factors, loadings, ...
We study a large-dimensional Dynamic Factor Model where: (i) the vector of factors F t is I ( 1 ) and driven by number shocks that smaller than dimension ; and, (ii) idiosyncratic components are either or 0 . Under (i), cointegrated can be modeled as Vector Error Correction (VECM). (ii), we provide consistent estimators, both cross-sectional size n time T go to infinity, for factors, loadings, ...
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