نتایج جستجو برای: bayesian vector autoregressive

تعداد نتایج: 287063  

2014
David C. Wyld A. Annamalai Giri K. Seetharaman

This paper proposes a novel method, based on Full Range Autoregressive (FRAR) model with Bayesian approach for color image retrieval. The color image is segmented into various regions according to its structure and nature. The segmented image is modeled to RGB color space. On each region, the model parameters are computed. The model parameters are formed as a feature vector of the image. The Ho...

2005
Dongchu Sun

We propose a Bayesian stochastic search approach to selecting restrictions for Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models. For this purpose, we develop a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that visits high posterior probability restrictions on the elements of both the VAR regression coefficients and the error variance matrix. Numerical simulations show that stochastic search based on this algori...

2009
Emily B. Fox Erik B. Sudderth Michael I. Jordan Alan S. Willsky

Many nonlinear dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such Markov jump linear systems: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (S-VAR) process. In this paper, we present a nonparametric Bayesian approach to identifying an unknown number of persisten...

2004
Jin Gyo Kim Ulrich Menzefricke

Random Utility models have become standard econometric tools, allowing parameter inference for individual-level categorical choice data. Such models typically presume that changes in observed choices over time can be attributed to changes in either covariates or unobservables. We study how choice dynamics can be captured more faithfully by additionally modeling temporal changes in parameters di...

2009
Emily Fox Emily B. Fox Erik B. Sudderth Michael I. Jordan Alan S. Willsky

Many nonlinear dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such Markov jump linear systems: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (S-VAR) process. In this paper, we present a nonparametric Bayesian approach to identifying an unknown number of persisten...

2008
Emily B. Fox Erik B. Sudderth Michael I. Jordan Alan S. Willsky

Many nonlinear dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (VAR) process. Our nonparametric Bayesian approach utilizes a hierarchical Dirichlet process prior to learn an unknown number of persistent, s...

2001
R. Cmejla P. Sovka

This contribution addresses the location of phonetic boundaries (LPB) for Czech phonetic categories. A novel method based on discriminant function and Bayesian change-point detectors (BCD) is suggested and tested for synthetic and real speech; the consistency and strength of the method was confirmed by experiment. The LPB process for finding significant boundaries consists of four steps: pitch-...

Short-term and long-term relationship between exchange rate, oil price and spot gas price of three regional gas markets was investigated using and estimating the Vector Autoregressive model. There is a significant and long-term relationship between variables.Short-term interactions of variables with Granger causality test One-year interaction of variables with intervals of one to twelve months ...

2015
Mark J. Jensen

Empirical volatility studies have discovered nonstationary, long-memory dynamics in the volatility of the stock market and foreign exchange rates. This highly persistent, infinite variance—but still mean reverting—behavior is commonly found with nonparametric estimates of the fractional differencing parameter d, for financial volatility. In this paper, a fully parametric Bayesian estimator, rob...

Journal: :Applied Economics 2021

This paper explores the impact on macroeconomy for certain OECD economies exposed to COVID-19 pandemic shock. The analysis employs a panel of countries, spanning period March 2020 January 2021. It also uses two proxies shocks: i) total confirmed incidences/cases and ii) deaths while using Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) method. findings document that shock exerts strong negative ef...

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