This article considers quasi-maximum likelihood estimations (QMLE) for two spatial panel data regression models: mixed effects model with spatial errors and transformed mixed effects model (where response and covariates are transformed) with spatial errors. One aim of transformation is to normalize the data, thus the transformed models are more robust with respect to the normality assumption co...

Are share markets too volatile? While it is difficult to ignore share market volatility it is important to determine whether volatility is excessive. This paper replicates the Shiller (1981) test as well as applying standard time series analysis to annual Australian stock market data for the period 1883 to 1999. While Shiller’s test suggests the possibility of excess volatility, time series ana...

Demand models produce biased results when applied to data aggregated across stores with heterogeneous promotional activity. We show how to modify extant aggregate demand frameworks to avoid this problem. First a consumer-level model is developed, which is then integrated over the heterogeneous stores to arrive at aggregate demand. Our approach is highly practical since it requires only standard...

This paper extends the panel threshold regression of Hansen (1999) and Kourtellos, Stengos and Tan (2007) to allow for endogeneity of the threshold variable. We consider the static linear panels with fixed effect. The modified concentrated two-stage least square methods that are based on inverse Mills ratio bias correction terms are proposed to estimate threshold parameters. Our estimators are ...

We propose structural models of investment for the econometric estimation of the real option markup. Count data models offer flexible specifications for bringing real option investment models to aggregate market data. The empirical results for oil tanker investment data are supportive for the proposed structural models, as well as the real option hypothesis. We find that the sensitivity of inve...

Selection effects include seemingly independent influences on, and choices in, conducting and reporting primary research that may bias a stock of knowledge. Such effects may arise from sociopolitical influences (research priority selection), researcher choices (methodology selection), peer review influences (publication selection), and metaanalyst choices (metadata sample selection). This paper...

We propose a semi–structural discrete–choice model that can be used to estimate static or dynamic decision rules. It is particularly useful in strategic contexts when games involve a rich set of choices, when private information is correlated, and when one wants to uncover the effect of historic behavior (on, for example, prices, sales, and profits). We apply our discrete–choice estimator to st...

Only 5.5 percent of black males married white females in 1990, and the family-income premium for intermarried black males was 7 percent. This paper estimates the impact of the mating taboo, courting opportunities, and individual endowments on the black male marriage market. Results indicate that eliminating the mating taboo would raise the intermarriage rate from 5.5 to 64 percent, and do away ...

We forecast US GDP and inflation over 1-, 4and 8-step horizons using the dataset from Stock and Watson (2009), with factors, variables, both, and neither. Autometrics handles perfect collinearity and more regressors than observations, enabling all principal components and variables to be included for model selection, jointly with using impulse-indicator saturation (IIS) for multiple breaks. Emp...

Why do some men father children outside of marriage without providing support? Why do some women have children outside of marriage when they receive little support from fathers? Why is this behavior more common among blacks than whites? We estimate a dynamic equilibrium model of marriage, employment, fertility, and child support decisions. We consider the extent to which low earnings, marriage ...