Meteorological forecasts of incident solar radiation are valuable for solar resource owners and others. Most previously described forecast methods provide a single predicted value. However, a well-calibrated forecast probability distribution is more useful in that it could be used to make optimum decisions under any decision rule. We demonstrate methods of constructing and evaluating probabilis...

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The effect of ocean biological productivity on marine clouds is explored over a large phytoplankton bloom in the Southern Ocean with the use of remotely sensed data. Cloud droplet number concentration over the bloom was twice what it was away from the bloom, and cloud effective radius was reduced by 30%. The resulting change in the short-wave radiative flux at the top of the atmosphere was -15 ...

Climate model simulations suggest that the extratropical storm tracks will shift poleward as a consequence of global warming. In this study the northern and southern hemisphere storm tracks over the Pacific and Atlantic ocean basins are studied using observational data, primarily from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project, ISCCP. Potential shifts in the storm tracks are examined...

Abstract Contrail cirrus account for the major share of aviation’s climate impact. Yet, links between jet fuel composition, contrail microphysics and impact remain unresolved. Here we present unique observations from two DLR-NASA aircraft campaigns that measured exhaust characteristics an Airbus A320 burning either standard fuels or low aromatic sustainable aviation blends. Our results show soo...

Abstract We use estimates of meso-scale vertical velocity and co-located cloud measurements from the second Next-Generation Aircraft Remote Sensing for Validation campaign (NARVAL2) in tropical North Atlantic to show observed impact motion on clouds. Our results not only confirm previously untested hypotheses about role dynamics being non-negligible determining cloudiness, but go further that a...