A new algorithm of computing statistics of a longest of runs test is proposed for the case of equal probability Bernoulli trials processes. The algorithm is founded on the analysis of the event tree diagram, which has shown the role of Fibonacci numbers of higher orders in counting the number of outcomes of interest in the sample space. The proof by induction is given. Compared to the classical...

This paper presents a generic, high-level risk assessment of the global operation of ocean-going liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers. The analysis collects and combines information from several sources such as an initial hazid, a thorough review of historic LNG accidents, review of previous studies, published damage statistics and expert judgement, and develops modular risk models for critical...

In this article, we study computational uncertainties in probabilistic risk/safety assessment resulting from the computational complexity of calculations of risk indicators. We argue that the risk analyst faces the fundamental epistemic and aleatory uncertainties of risk assessment with a bounded calculation capacity, and that this bounded capacity over-determines both the design of models and ...

Effective time of thinning is essential for determining a silvicultural operation schedule. One of the most commonly used methods is the percentage of radial increase to assess the effect of thinning. However, it is difficult to determine the ideal time point due to variation in tree growth rates. Event history analysis was used to quantify the optimal timings for different row thinning types f...

Topology construction and topology maintenance are significant sub-problems of topology control. Spanning tree based algorithms for topology control are basically transmission range based type construction algorithms. The construction of an effective backbone, however, is indirectly related to the placement of nodes. Also, the dependence of network reliability on the communication path undertak...

Survival analysis has been a major research area in statistics. In survival analysis, time to some event is usually the outcome variable. The objective of a survival study is to identify the relationship between treatments, risk factors or other covariates and the time to event. However, in a real clinical trial or longitudinal study, the exact time to event for each participant is not always k...

Fault tree analysis is a systematic safety analysis tool that proceeds deductively from the occurrence of an undesired event (accident) to the identification of the root causes of that event. One recurring mine safety problem—a dozer falling into a void over a drawpoint on a coal surge pile—was analyzed using available, inexpensive fault tree programs on a personal computer. The analysis identi...

In this paper, according to theoretical diagnosis of fault tree, the author builds a diagnosis model based on dynamic fault tree and illustrates the model’s construction method and diagnosis logic in detail. According to case analysis, compared with conventional fault tree diagnosis, the above-mentioned method is advanced in fault-tolerant ability. Plus, the diagnosis results record some interm...

in this paper, a discrete event simulation model of iranian railway system is used for analyzing performance of the system in freight sector. the model analysis shows more sensitivity of the system on loading and unloading facilities than on number of wagons and locomotives. system optimization through simulation optimization technique, shows that more than 4% of all wagons available in the net...