In this paper we introduce a new nonparametric test for Granger non-causality which avoids the over-rejection observed in the frequently used test proposed by Hiemstra and Jones [1994. Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger causality in the stock price-volume relation. Journal of Finance 49, 1639–1664]. After illustrating the problem by showing that rejection probabilities under the null hypo...

This paper demonstrates that linear regression models with an AR(1) error structure implicitly assume that yt does not Granger cause any of the exogenous variables in Xt. An indirect test of the common factor restrictions based on this Granger non-causality is proposed and shown to outperform existing tests. ∗Copyright 2004 by Anya McGuirk and Aris Spanos. All rights reserved.

Granger causality analysis is a popular method for inference on directed interactions in complex systems of many variables. A shortcoming of the standard framework for Granger causality is that it only allows for examination of interactions between single (univariate) variables within a system, perhaps conditioned on other variables. However, interactions do not necessarily take place between s...

In this paper we use the frequency domain Granger causality test of Breitung/Candelon (2006) to analyse short and long-run causality between energy prices and prices of food commodities. We find that the oil price Granger causes all the considered food prices. However, when controlling for business cycle fluctuations this link exists especially at low frequencies. Thus, short-run phenomena like...

The current paper investigates the existence and nature of the Granger causality between electricity consumption and economic growth for 17 industries in Taiwan. Empirical results over the period 1998–2014 suggest that a panel cointegration test shows a long-run equilibrium relationship and a bi-directional Granger causality between electricity and economic growth has been found. The result ind...

This paper examines the relationship between exchange rates and stock prices in eight Asian countries using cointegration and Granger causality tests over the period 1991 to 2005. We test for cointegration and Granger causality for both individual countries using the Gregory and Hansen (1996) cointegration test that accommodates a structural break in the cointegrating vector, and for a panel us...

this study aims to evaluate the link between economic growth and consumer price index (cpi) in japan for the period of 1980-2014. initial series were adjusted for stationarity using the augmented dickey- fuller (adf) test for unit root followed by the application of johansen co-integration test in order to examine the long-run relationship among the variables, while the causalities were evaluat...

The interrelationship between international stock markets has been a key study area among the financial market researchers for international portfolio management and risk measurement. The characteristics of security returns and their dynamics play a vital role in the financial market theory. This study is an attempt to find out the dynamic linkages among the equity market of USA and emerging ma...

This study attempts to investigate the effect of oil returns and external debt on the government expenditure in Syria over the period 1970-2010. The Johansen cointegration test showed that oil returns and external debt have a positive and significant long run relationship with government expenditure. The Granger causality test indicates unidirectional short-run causality relationships running f...