We examine the impact of cross-border bank flows on recipient countries’ systemic risk. Using data on bank flows from 26 source countries to 119 recipient countries, we find that bank flows are associated with improved financial stability (i.e. lower systemic risk) in the recipient country. The impact of bank flows is stronger in recipient countries with weak regulatory quality and fragile bank...

This paper studies the behavior of international capital flows driven by the portfolio reallocation decisions of international investors; so-called hot money. I develop an open economy model with endowment and preference shocks that can account for the empirical behavior of real exchange rates, interest rates and consumption in the U.S. and Europe. The model includes financial frictions that im...

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on different components of net portfolio flows, namely net equity and net bond flows, as well as their dynamic linkages. Specifically, a bivariate VAR GARCH-BEKK-in-mean model is estimated using bilateral monthly data for the US visa-vis Australia, Canada, the euro area, Japan, Sweden, and the UK over the period 1988:012011:12. The res...

In this paper, we conduct an analysis of the implications of capital controls for financial stability. We study a financial transaction (Tobin) tax applicable to cross-border capital flows in a multi-good, multi-country dynamic equilibrium model with incomplete financial markets and heterogeneous agents. The results derived from the model suggest that the impact of capital controls may vary con...

This paper investigates the extent to which financial constraints limit international labor migration flows in a developing country context. Income growth in these settings can have two countervailing effects. Rising income may relax liquidity constraints that prevent profitable migration among poor households. However, higher income also implies smaller wage gaps with rich countries and a high...

Derivatives markets in emerging economies have continued to grow since 2010, driven mostly by very strong growth in the OTC market. Emerging market currencies have become more international as offshore markets are a major contributor to FX turnover. The Chinese renminbi is actively traded within emerging Asia. Trading of emerging market currencies is positively related to the size of cross-bord...

Sudden stops can be characterized by sharp reversals in capital inflows, large declines in output, and steep collapses in real asset prices (Mendoza and Smith, 2009). In almost all recent crises, capital account reversals amounting to more than 10% of an afflicted country’s GDP have occurred (Calvo and Reinhart, 1999 and Nabli, 1999). More specifically, reversals in capital flows to emergin...

This paper estimates international spillover e§ects of US Quantitative Easing (QE) on emerging market economies. Using a Bayesian VAR on monthly US macroeconomic and financial data, we first identify the US QE shock with non-recursive identifying restrictions. This identified shock is then used in another Bayesian panel VAR for emerging market economies to infer the international spillover e§ec...

1. Introduction The benefits to developing economies of their comparatively recent integration to international capital markets are clearly substantial: access to international savings allowing the rate of investment (and thus industrial progress and income growth) to be raised; the ability to dampen exogenous shocks by borrowing abroad; and efficiency gains from the transfers of competitive te...