This paper proposes a partial equilibrium model to describe the global crude oil market. Pricing on the global crude oil market is strongly influenced by price indices such as WTI (USA) and Brent (Northwest Europe). Adapting an approach for pool-based electricity markets, the model captures the particularities of these benchmark price indices and their influence on the market of physical oil. T...

Abstract We analyse the behaviour of OPEC as a group by formulating theoretical model that encompasses perfect competition and various forms imperfect model. By confronting with quarterly data for period from 1992 to 2013 within context cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model, we find support hypothesis regarding output decisions OPEC. also dynamic equilibrium correction is stable in-sa...

This paper studies Venezuelan economic performance from 1950 to 1998. We show that there exist wide divergences in many commonly used estimates of GDP growth and discuss the sources of those differences. We show that the choice of base year and linking techniques are crucial for the diagnosis of economic growth, and argue that the aggregate GDP and TFP growth numbers are distorted by cuts in oi...

In a global economy, shocks occurring in one market can spill over to other markets. This paper investigates the impact of oil shocks and stock markets crashes on correlations between stock and oil markets. We test changes in correlations at different scales with non-overlapping confidence intervals based on estimated wavelet correlations. Contrary to other approaches, this method does not need...

E nergy analysts sometimes speak of oil’s “golden era,” that 100-year stretch between 1874 and 1974 when the real price was relatively stable within a range from $10 to $20 per barrel (BP, 2008) in 2007 dollars. Figure 1 shows that in recent decades, that stability has ended. In October 1973, several Arabic members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) announced that i...

This study initially calculates export sophistication of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries to 
 make a comparison in the region between OPEC non-OPEC for 2004-2016 period. Secondly, short long run empirical analysis are applied examine effect on GDP per capita growth controlling several macroeconomic variables. Lastly, panel VAR is utilized decompose variation rate. Empirical f...