This paper presents a stylized model of international trade and asset price bubbles. Its central insight is that bubbles tend to appear and expand in countries where productivity is low relative to the rest of the world. These bubbles absorb local savings, eliminating inefficient investments and liberating resources that are in part used to invest in high productivity countries. Through this ch...

Should central banks respond to asset price bubbles? This paper explores this monetary policy question in a hypothetical economy subject to asset price bubbles. Despite the highly stylized structure of the model, the results reveal several practical monetary policy lessons. First, a monetary authority should generally respond to asset prices as long as asset prices contain reliable information ...

Price bubbles may be a leading indicator for financial crises. In history, some of the important price bubble cases occurred in real estate or housing market. this study, existence bubbles, periods existing and factors affecting formation sector both Turkey TR22 Region (Balıkesir-Çanakkale) are being investigated. Data covering 126 monthly indices period between January 2010 June 2020 were used...

The fiscal theory of price determination asserts that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal public debt to the present value of real primary surpluses. To show its fragility, we describe a cash-in-advance economy with infinitely lived real productive assets. The fiscal theory does not hold since speculative bubbles partly restore the classical indeterminacy result.

Throughout human history, economic bubbles have formed and burst. As a bubble grows, microeconomic behavior ceases to be constrained by realistic predictions. This contradicts the basic assumption of economics that agents have rational expectations. To examine the neural basis of behavior during bubbles, we performed functional magnetic resonance imaging while participants traded shares in a vi...

Why do asset price bubbles continue to appear in various markets? This paper provides an overview of recent literature on bubbles, with significant attention given to behavioral models and rational models with frictions. Unlike the standard rational models, the new literature is able to model the common characteristics of historical bubble episodes and offer insights for how bubbles are initiat...

Financial instability can have large adverse effects on an economy. One major cause of instability is asset price bubbles. This paper starts by considering how such bubbles can arise due to the expansion of money and credit. The ways in which subsequent financial instability occurs are then discussed. Banking crises can arise due to panics or as a result of the business cycle. Contagion and fin...

In this paper we investigate quantitatively statistical properties of ensemble of land prices in Japan in the period from 1981 to 2002, corresponding to the period of bubbles and crashes. We find that the tail of the distributions of ensembles of the land prices in the high price range is well described by a power law distribution, P (S > x) ∼ x−α, and furthermore that as the power-law exponent...

Periodically, some group of asset prices rises at a rapid pace that is matched neither by general price inflation nor seemingly by the relevant fundamental asset values. This situation rightfully causes great consternation at central banks, as it has dangerous implications for the stability of inflation and full employment and for financial stability. Some asset prices, such as those for housin...

In this study we investigate quantitatively statistical properties of an ensemble of land prices in Japan in the period from 1981 to 2002, corresponding to a period of bubbles and crashes. We found that the tail of the complementary cumulative distribution function of the ensemble of land prices in the high price range is well described by a power-law distribution, P (S > x) ∼ x−α, and furtherm...