Hydrodynamic river models are applied to design and evaluate measures for purposes such as safety against flooding. The modeling of river processes involves numerous uncertainties, resulting in uncertain model results. Knowledge of the type and magnitude of these uncertainties is crucial for a meaningful interpretation of the model results. The aim of this study is to quantify the uncertainty d...

Abstract. Climatic change alters the frequency and intensity of natural hazards. In order to assess potential future changes in flood seasonality Rhine River basin, we analyse streamflow, snowmelt, precipitation evapotranspiration at 1.5, 2.0 3.0 ?C global warming levels. The mesoscale hydrological model (mHM) forced with an ensemble climate projection scenarios (five general circulation models...

Climate change may well lead to an increased risk of river floods in the Netherlands. However, the impacts of changes in water management on river floods are larger, either enhancing or reducing flood risks. Therefore, the abilities of water-management authorities to learn that climate and river flows are changing, and to recognize and act upon the implications, are of crucial importance. At th...

A methodology is presented for determining the probability of dikes failing due to uplifting and piping using directional sampling. The study concerns one dike section in the lower river area of The Netherlands. For this dike section, the three most important random quantities are: the North-Sea water level, the river Rhine discharge, and the critical head in the event of uplifting and piping. ...

Estimating the environmental exposure to manufactured nanomaterials is part of risk assessment. Because nanoparticles aggregate with each other (homoaggregation) and with other particles (heteroaggregation), the main route of the removal of most nanoparticles from water is aggregation, followed by sedimentation. The authors used water samples from two rivers in Europe, the Rhine and the Meuse. ...