A framework for short-term probabilistic forecasting of watershed flood stage conditions using a distributed rainfall-runoff model is proposed. A stochastic rainfall pattern simulation model capable of generating input for a distributed rainfall-runoff model is developed. Generation of rainfall patterns over a 6-hour period is achieved using a translation vector rainfall forecasting process mod...

There are limitations in using monthly rainfall totals in studies of rainfall climatology as well as in hydrological and agricultural investigations. Variations in rainfall may be considered to result from frequency changes in the daily rainfall of the respective regime. In the present study, daily rainfall data of the stations inside the Koyna catchment has been analysed for the period of 1961...

[1] A new approach for modeling the spatial dependence in rainfall occurrence is proposed. Being motivated by a technique for coupling Markov chains in interacting particle systems, it differs from existing approaches that only attempt to reproduce pairwise spatial correlations of rainfall occurrences or apply complex nonlinear models. It has the advantage of directly modeling the joint depende...

Predicted climate changes in the US Central Plains include altered precipitation regimes with increased occurrence of growing season droughts and higher frequencies of extreme rainfall events. Changes in the amounts and timing of rainfall events will likely affect ecosystem processes, including those that control C cycling and storage. Soil carbon dioxide (CO2) flux is an important component of...

1. The importance of rainfall is recognized in arid habitats, but has rarely been explored in ecosystems not viewed as rainfall limited. In addition, most attempts to study how rainfall affects organismal survival have focused on long-term rainfall metrics (e.g. monthly or seasonal patterns) instead of short-term measures. For organisms that are short lived or are sensitive to desiccation, shor...

Tropical rainfall to first order responds to variations in Earth’s orbit through shifts of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and changes in zonally averaged rainfall intensity. Here, a conceptual model is developed that represents both processes and their response to orbital insolation variations. The model predicts the seasonal evolution of tropical rainfall between 308S and 308N. Inso...

The evolutions of ENSO modes in the seasonal rainfall patterns over East Africa are examined in this study. The study covers the period 1961–1990. Both rotated empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and simple correlation analyses were used to delineate a network of 136 stations over East Africa into homogeneous rainfall regions in order to derive rainfall indices. Time series generated from the d...

Climate change is a global issue that has impact on every living being in the world. Since Malaysia is located in the tropical area where there is no distinct four seasons, analysing rainfall has therefore become one of the common assessment tools for climate change. In this study, rainfall trends and spatial variations of Langat River Basin will be determined for the period of 1971-2012. Only ...

Projected changes in the future rainfall of the Sydney metropolitan region were investigated through fine scale (2km grid) dynamical downscaling from a single global climate model (GCM) simulation using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate model. Projections of rainfall (20402059) were compared with a reanalysis-driven simulation for the period 1990-2009. There are projec...

Rainfall infiltration exerts great effect on the stability of soil slopes. Based on the actual rainfall data, saturated-unsaturated seepage theory and the mechanical theory of unsaturated porous media, numerical simulations were conducted to examine the seepage field of saturatedunsaturated slope during rainfall infiltration in this paper. The influence of the coefficient with rainfall duration...