monte carlo methods designed base on stochastic reiterations and can be useful in uncertainty conditions. the purpose of this research was investigation of uncertainty to rank desertification indicators. in order to decrease uncertainty have been applied monte carlo reiterations for each value of indicator, if rank of xi is higher than rank of xk constantly. using multi dimension integrals the ...

Wind turbine power curves are calibrated by turbine manufacturers under requirements stipulated by the International Electrotechnical Commission to provide a functional mapping between the mean wind speed v and the mean turbine power output P. Wind plant operators employ these power curves to estimate or forecast wind power generation under given wind conditions. However, it is general knowledg...

Stochastic programming constitutes a useful tool to address investment problems. This technique represents uncertain input data using a set of scenarios, which should accurately describe the involved uncertainty. In this paper, we propose two alternative methodologies to efficiently generate electric load and wind-power production scenarios, which are used as input data for investment problems....

7 The increasing penetration of uncertain generation such as wind and solar in power systems imposes new challenges to the Unit Commitment (UC) problem, one of the most critical tasks in power systems operations. The two most common approaches to address these challenges — stochastic and robust optimization — have drawbacks that restrict their application to real-world systems. This paper demon...

This paper proposes a power-based networkconstrained unit commitment (UC) model as an alternative to the traditional deterministic UCs to deal with wind generation uncertainty. The formulation draws a clear distinction between power-capacity and ramp-capability reserves to deal with wind production uncertainty. These power and ramp requirements can be obtained from wind forecast information. Th...

The intermittent nature of the wind creates significant uncertainty in the operation of power systems with increased wind power penetration. Considerable efforts have been made for the accurate prediction of the wind power using either statistical or physical models. In this paper, a method based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is proposed in order to improve the predictions of an existing n...

Wind power is a major candidate in the search for clean, renewable energy. Beyond the technical and economic challenges of wind energy development are environmental issues that may restrict its growth. Avian fatalities due to collisions with rotating turbine blades are a leading concern and there is considerable uncertainty surrounding avian collision risk at wind facilities. This uncertainty i...

Wind power prediction research shows that it is difficult to accurately and effectively estimate the probability distribution (PD) of wind power. When only partial information of the wind power probability distribution function is available, an optimal available transfer capability (ATC) assessment strategy considering the uncertainty on the wind power probability distribution is proposed in th...

Using hybrid renewable energy is one of the best alternatives to supply the electrical energy at remote areas. Renewable energy sources are depended to weather conditions or other factors, so for supplying load with renewable sources appropriate capacity of these sources should be selected. In determining the capacity of renewable energy such as wind and solar, considering the stochastic nature...