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We propose a concept of intraday overreaction characterized by intraday price movements which are corrected within the same trading day. It is a concept of relative overreaction in the sense that the price range within a trading day is large in comparison with the openclose return volatility. As a one-sided concept it allows to distinguish between upward and downward overreaction. A test for ov...
Article history: Received 22 September 2011 Received in revised form 28 January 2013 Accepted 2 February 2013 Available online 9 February 2013 This paper analyzes the investor sentiment effect in four key European stock markets: France, Germany, Spain and the UK. The findings show that sentiment has a significant influence on returns, varying in intensity across markets. The variation appears t...
This study tests the presence of the day of the week effect on stock market volatility by using the S&P 500 market index during the period of January 1973 and October 1997. The findings show that the day of the week effect is present in both volatility and return equations. While the highest and lowest returns are observed on Wednesday and Monday, the highest and the lowest volatility are obser...
We formulate a consumption-based asset pricing model in which aggregate risk aversion is time-varying in response to both news about consumption growth (as in a habit formation model) and news about inflation. We estimate our model and explore its pricing implications for the term structure of interest rates and the cross-section of stock returns. Our empirical results support the hypothesis th...
Alizadeh, Brandt, and Diebold [2002. Journal of Finance 57, 1047–1091] propose estimating stochastic volatility models by quasi-maximum likelihood using data on the daily range of the log asset price process. We suggest a related Bayesian procedure that delivers exact likelihood based inferences. Our approach also incorporates data on the daily return and accommodates a nonzero drift. We illust...
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mempelajari pengaruh ekspor manufaktur dan barang dagangan terhadap total cadangan devisa serta cadangan, observasi pada 4 negara Islam yaitu Indonesia, Malaysia, Turki, Uni Emirat Arab yang tergabung dalam OIC (Organization of Islamic Cooporation) dengan periode pengamatan kurun waktu tujuh belas tahun, dari tahun 2000-2017 menggunakan regresi data panel metode O...
Abstract We provide the first systematic asset pricing analysis of one main safe categories, repurchase agreement (repo). Based on temporal and cross-sectional variation in short-term rates, we form a carry that, together with market factor, prices these near-money assets linear model. The depicts heterogeneity nonpecuniary convenience yields collateral increases safety premium liquidity reflec...
We address the issue of hedging in in nite horizon markets under cone constraints on the number of shares of assets. We show that the minimum cost of hedging a liability stream is equal to its largest present value with respect to admissible stochastic discount factors, thus can be determined without nding an optimal hedging strategy. We develop an algorithm by which an optimal portfolio in one...
This paper proposes a consistent approach to discrete time valuation in insurance and finance. This approach uses the growth optimal portfolio as reference unit or benchmark. When used as benchmark, it is shown that all benchmarked price processes are supermartingales. Benchmarked fair price processes are characterized as martingales. No measure transformation is needed for the fair pricing of ...
This paper provides a method for estimating the market risk premium that accounts for shifts in investment opportunities by explicitly modeling the underlying process governing the level of market volatility. I find that approximately 50% of the measured risk premium is related to the risk of future changes in investment opportunities. Evidence of a structural shift in the underlying volatility...
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